In October 2015 the most venerable name in public opinion polling, Gallup, announced that it would no longer conduct horse-race election surveys or predict the outcomes of presidential contests. Gallup had been the gold standard for such polling since the…
Most of the national polls portend defeat for President Trump in November. At the time of this writing the RealClearPolitics average shows him behind his Democratic challenger, former Vice President Joe Biden, by nearly 10 points. This lead emboldened Biden…
At this point in the 1988 presidential cycle, it was taken for granted among pundits and professional prognosticators that Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis would defeat Vice President George H. W. Bush by a comfortable margin. Moreover, public opinion seemed to…
Conservatives mostly consider the modern progressive a-wokening as irreligious, even immoral and atheistic. But the other side more than returns the compliment, believing conservatives morally and socially bigoted and corrupt. As the great historian Eric Voegelin tried to tell us…
Joe Biden will lose the election on China. America is a divided nation on seemingly every issue, but increasingly unified in opposition to China. But because Biden cannot join this unity of opposition, he is ceding this lopsided issue to…
As colleges go, so goes the nation. A new report on student views of free speech released this month should therefore give Americans some cause for concern. Published on May 5 by the Knight Foundation in partnership with Gallup, the…
Next November, when most voters are trying to forget the partisan antics of President Trump’s impeachment, they will decide his fate based on the same criteria they always use to determine if a president deserves reelection. Committed Republicans will vote…
In the days preceding the first planned House hearing on D.C. statehood in 26 years, a new Gallup poll has found that a full 64 percent of Americans oppose statehood for the District. Only 29 percent said they favored making D.C. a…
Emile Durkheim, a French sociologist, famously discussed something called collective effervescence. Durkheim argued that the universal religious dichotomy of sacrilegious and sacred results form the way in which we live of our lives. Unfortunately, most of us spend too many hours performing…
