Romney would have liked to have made this a two-man race but while he and Rudy were fighting it out Huckabee charged into the first tier. Well so much for the 2 man race theory, huh? Let’s see how things might go: 1) Huckabee wins in Iowa, the Romney bubble bursts. McCain wins in NH and goes on to become the consensus candidate. (Hey, he’s right on
healthcare and apparently doing well at
MTV night.) 2) Huckabee wins Iowa .. and most everything else after Romney barely wins NH. 3) Huckabee wins Iowa. The rest of the early states get divided up. Rudy wins Florida and most of the February 5 states to take the nomination. 4) Huckabee loses Iowa after a barrage of negative ads, Romney sweeps the early states and wins it all. 5) Thompson.. well… er…. I give up but anything is possible. UPDATE: And this
chart is very helpful – a swarm for second place.