A Prediction Gone Wrong | The American Spectator | USA News and Politics
A Prediction Gone Wrong
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WASHINGTON — The year 2011 has drawn to an end, and as I look back I see several of my predictions that appear pretty sound. President Barack Obama is dead in the water and will be beaten in 2012. I have made that prediction over and again this year and I think it will be borne out. Another observation that I have made is that Liberalism is dead. By the coming election it will be the rare psephologist who fails to notice. Say, the occasional MSNBC political expert may still think Liberalism is full of brag and bounce after the fall elections as will the Sunday morning news know-it-alls, but after the November 6 elections, with the Senate and the presidency added to the Republicans’ trophy chest, I think my observation will be commonly accepted.

The Liberals of yesteryear are history. Those who call themselves Liberals today are zombies, the living dead of the left. Their new taxonomic classification is crony capitalism, according to which winners are picked by the government and showered with government subsidies. Thus is gobbled up ever more of American commerce. Alas, President Barack Obama’s early crony capitalists have a dreadful record. Consider the electric automobile or the solar power sector of the economy, companies like Solyndra — egad! The American people’s limits have been reached. Crony capitalism too is dead or at least moribund.

So was I always right in 2011? Unfortunately, not at all. Those who noticed the optimistic tone of my pronouncements regarding Texas’ Governor Rick Perry’s chances for the presidency in late spring and early summer must know I was too optimistic by half. In fact, I was dead wrong. Let me be man enough to admit it.

Back then I saw Governor Perry declaring his candidacy by the end of August, and so far so good. I said he would be very impressive, speaking authoritatively and sonorously on all the important issues of the day to us conservatives. By January 2012 he would have swept the field. Only a well-heeled Governor Romney would be prepared to challenge him, and perhaps the indefatigable Congressman Ron Paul. It would be a pathetic sight, with a smiling, congenial Governor Perry proceeding to the summer Republican convention and taking the nomination.

Well, Perry did not sweep into 2012. He tripped repeatedly in the fall after a promising declaration of candidacy. He faltered in debate and had those embarrassing brain seizures in front of the cameras where all could see. He was a solid conservative, but on some things he was too solid and he was rarely well informed. Frankly, I came to the conclusion that in the summer sometime he awoke and thought he should be president, so why not make a run for it? His state was rightly being boomed as the economy that works in contrast to California the economy that had failed, that hated business, that was an economy without a purpose. Governor Perry had been good for Texas and could be good for America. The 2012 election was going to be about the economy and the Governor of Texas was the man to take on Obama.

Actually, he might well be a man to take on Obama, but he has shown himself not to be prepared for the race just yet. It is said of him that in Texas he never won a debate and never lost a race. Yet he is beyond Texas now. Today he is campaigning for the presidency and he entered the race as though it were a lark. He has shown the capacity to learn on the campaign trail, but I am not sure the trail is long enough. We shall soon see.

R. Emmett Tyrrell, Jr.
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R. Emmett Tyrrell, Jr. is the founder and editor in chief ofThe American Spectator. He is the author of The Death of Liberalism, published by Thomas Nelson Inc. His previous books include the New York Times bestseller Boy Clinton: The Political Biography; The Impeachment of William Jefferson Clinton; The Liberal Crack-Up; The Conservative Crack-Up; Public Nuisances; The Future that Doesn’t Work: Social Democracy’s Failure in Britain; Madame Hillary: The Dark Road to the White House; The Clinton Crack-Up; and After the Hangover: The Conservatives’ Road to Recovery. He makes frequent appearances on national television and is a nationally syndicated columnist, whose articles have appeared in the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Los Angeles Times, Baltimore Sun, Washington Times, National Review, Harper’s, Commentary, The (London) Spectator, Le Figaro (Paris), and elsewhere. He is also a contributing editor to the New York Sun.
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