I don’t think that particular poll means that Hillary is in trouble, because as everyone pointed out, it’s early. It does, however, make an Obama candidacy seem more plausible. Over the past few weeks many preference polls for the Democratic nomination came out where Obama’s numbers were in the 16-20% range with Hillary in the mid 30s. Many analysts pointed to these numbers to say, despite all of the publicity Obama has gotten, his numbers have hardly moved. What the NH poll shows is that concentrated media attention in one state actually did boost his numbers. Whether he can replicate this in other states and sustain it is another story entirely.
