So says Rudy Giuliani, and even a Giuliani-friendly blogger on this site last week titled a post, Florida, Finally, echoing, I’m sure, the sentiments of many a Rudy supporter. I’m not politically savvy enough to have any idea whether the bet-it-all-on-Florida strategy was sound, but my gut-impression is that perhaps it would have been somewhat sounder if it had been kept under the radar a bit more. I recall seeing Rudy on Meet the Press dismissing all the early state poll numbers with variations of Yes, but Florida and wondering how, exactly, that might play for undecided voters in those states. (Especially New Hampshire where my sense is there was a far richer vein of potential Rudy voters than the one that was tapped.) And, further, what kind of impression such selective competition would leave on rank-and-file Republicans nationwide. Giuliani can make an argument, possibly, that he can pick up new voters in blue states, but is that cancelled out by not seeming too concerned with the old voters?
Like most political gambles, this one will either look like a stroke of genius or a cautionary tale in a few short days. Unless it is an epic blowout, though, I fail to see how a Florida win suddenly, miraculously erases the wins and momentum of his competitors.