Harry Reid is determined to bring about an electricity shortage. Now that's dingy.
Highly informed sources (don't you love that phrase) tell us that Senate majority leader Harry "Hands-Off-Yucca-Mountain" Reid will be pushing for the Senate to adopt a national renewable energy portfolio within the next two weeks.
Reid has reportedly told Senator Jeff Bingaman (N.M.), chairman of the Senate Energy and Natural Resource Committee, he wants a bill on the Senate floor within two weeks. Bingaman is balking at the timetable but is not opposed to the bill.
And so the Senate may soon be leading us down the path trodden by California (the state with the $40 billion budget deficit) on its way to the California Electrical Shortage of 2000. Democrats have been historically feckless on energy, but apparently you ain't seen nothin' yet.
What is a renewable portfolio? Well, it's what we used to call an "unfunded mandate." The premise is that the government has perfect foresight on where our energy future is going and as good legislators it's their responsibility to hasten its arrival. Corporations and utilities, you see, are generally too greedy and stupid to perceive the future so they have to be prodded on their way. In their wisdom, the legislators will mandate that by 2000-whatever the state or nation shall derive XX percent of its electricity from "renewable sources." It's up to the utilities to do the job. California pioneered this strategy in the 1990s but 26 states have now followed suit, although four make it only voluntary.
All this is likely to make electricity more expensive, which is what is holding the utilities back. Solar electricity now costs about 24 cents per kilowatt-hour and wind 14 cents, as opposed to 5 cents for coal or natural gas. Utilities will pay the bills but then will inevitably pass them along to consumers. California now pays the highest electrical rates in the country, precisely because it will not allow coal or nuclear plants but has pursued a 30-year strategy to develop renewable energy.
The best criticism of renewable portfolio standards ("RPS" for short) comes from Fred Krupp, executive director of Environmental Defense, who is (please don't tell anyone) a closet conservative. In his book, Earth: The Sequel, Krupp writes: "Mandates presume that the government already knows the best way to proceed on energy. But the government doesn't know any better than anyone else. The best thing to do is to level the playing field, through something like a carbon tax or cap-and-trade, and then let the market sort things out." Krupp is talking here of course about reducing carbon emissions and I happen to agree with him. Democratic politicians, however, don't like leaving decisions in the hands of ordinary people and so we are likely to get an RPS instead.
So just what is a "renewable" source of energy? Well, it depends on whom you ask. Wind is definitely renewable (although some people are pointing out that if we put up too many windmills we may start changing wind patterns, which will affect the climate). Solar heat and electricity are renewable because the sun shines every day. Geothermal energy is renewable because the heat of the earth will always be with us. It is generated by the breakdown of uranium and thorium atoms in the earth's crust. (That's why I titled my book on nuclear power Terrestrial Energy.) If we take those same uranium and thorium atoms and put them in something called a "nuclear reactor," however, that is not renewable because -- well, because it isn't, that's why.
Things get a little fuzzier when we get to hydroelectricity and biofuels. Hydroelectric dams have been with us since the 19th century and provided 40 percent of our electricity in 1940. They also provided the environmental movement with its first cause for objection. The Sierra Club opposed construction of the Hetch-Hetchy Dam in 1911 and is still campaigning to tear it down even though it provides water and electricity to 2.5 million people in the San Francisco area. The Club also opposed the Glen Canyon Dam in the 1960s, proposing a nuclear plant in its place. Now someone has come along forty years later, however, and said hydroelectricity is renewable energy! That can't be true. So environmental groups have decided only small dams -- "low-head hydro" -- are authentically renewable. Big dams don't count. Whether large hydro should be included in a renewable mandate is always a matter of fierce debate.
Biofuel, on the other hand, has to be one of the most irrational pursuits ever undertaken by a mature industrial nation. The idea is that burning a portion of our crops for fuel each year is somehow "sustainable." All this ignores that humanity has spent most of its history trying to build a sustainable agriculture, but that's another story. We're past that now. So each year we now burn one-quarter of the corn crop to feed our gas tanks and are headed for more. All this has created havoc and food riots in that other portion of the world that still practices agriculture. The United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization is calling biofuels a "crime against humanity," but what do they know? They just don't share our vision of a clean and sustainable energy future.
Thus, in one of the more bizarre developments, Midwestern utilities have now started substituting wood chips for coal on the basis that it is "more sustainable." Wood has only half the energy density of coal and creates just as much carbon dioxide and air pollution. Lung disease is the leading cause of death around the world because people in underdeveloped countries spend their whole lives breathing wood smoke. Moreover, it would take a 1000-acre forest to feed one 1000-MW power plant on a sustainable basis. Yet we are reverting from coal to wood in order to protect the environment.
California began pursing a renewable strategy in 1980 when Governor Jerry Brown decided to pursue Amory Lovins' "soft path." From 1980 to 2000 the state built no new major power plants. (Diablo Canyon Nuclear Units 1 and 2, started in the 1960s, were finally brought on line in 1984 and 1985.) The Golden State pursued the most aggressive conservation-and-renewables program in the nation. It turned every garbage dump in the state into a 1-MW methane plant. Businesses as small as nursing homes and golf clubs were encouraged to generate their own electricity, capturing the steam for heat. The state developed its remarkable geothermal resources. (Geothermal vents are common along earthquake fault lines.) It built what was the largest windmill farm in the country at Altamont Pass. By 2000 it had the lowest per-capita electrical consumption in the country, the highest percentage of non-hydro renewables (10 percent as opposed to 1 percent nationwide) -- and not enough electricity to run its traffic lights.
Urban legend now has it that Enron actually caused the California Electrical Shortage. The company did play games in order to dodge state price controls, but the state's electrical shortage was caused by a shortage of electricity. California only recovered by tossing aside environmental review and throwing up 12,000 MW of natural gas generators over the next three years. Except for renewables, however, natural gas is the most expensive way to generate electricity. So Google has moved its server farms to Oregon and North Carolina, Cisco is expanding into Texas, and manufacturers are generally fleeing the state as fast as they can. As a result, the California economy is in a shambles.
And this is what Harry Reid now wants to do for the rest of the country. Hang on, it's going to be a heck of a ride.
Ken| 2.24.09 @ 7:05AM
I agree with your analysis. Nuclear power should be a large part of the solution and even though it is not renewable, in the strictest sense of the word due to finite (but virtually inexhaustible) recoverable supply. Technically true, practically irrelevant. The government should be encouraging new nuclear technologies to fill our energy gap, and I believe that most of those should be based on Thorium.
I do want to add that much of California's current problems stem from Prop. 13, not its energy policies. I disagree with the State's energy policies but it is a bad habit of the Right to conflate such unrelated things to make (score) points and this only damages the argument. I think that I would be more sympathetic towards the right wing were it not for such childishness. The kind of "yellow commentary" of the right is like a diet based on the Burger King menu and to an outside observer it looks tawdry. More and more it is like someone thinking that they are uniquely entitled to fart in public. I don't really know when this all started, but it is like you started by smoking with your Jr high buddies behind the barn and now you have a pack a day habit and it is just reflexive and you have to throw it in, even in what should be serious discussions.
cdc| 2.24.09 @ 8:12AM
First completely modernize the grid, then build up cheap generating capacity.
Jim Mulcahy| 2.24.09 @ 9:14AM
When all of these 'non-polluting electric autos show up, they need to be recharged. Where is the electricity going to come from that is non-polluting and won't crowd out every other use of electricity? Has Harry thought about that?
A windfarm that would replace our current fossil and nuclear fueled plants would have to be the size of Alaska, assuming that the wind blew at a steady enough speed to get maximum output without wrecking the turbines.
Atlas Shrugged is getting more prescient every day.
Gill O'Teen| 2.24.09 @ 10:02AM
All we need do is build a wind farm on the Washington Mall. The steady breeze blowing from the Capitol and the White House will adequately supply all our energy needs forever.
Pingback| 2.24.09 @ 10:02AM
DrumBeat: February 24, 2009 | EcoSilly links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Skep41| 2.24.09 @ 10:42AM
KEN
"I do want to add that much of California's current problems stem from Prop. 13, not its energy policies."
This is the constant mantra of all CA liberals; they want the last restraint on raising taxes removed so they can strip the gullible chumps of their last remaining wealth. How not raising property taxes has caused this electricity mess is not explained. Repealing Prop 13 would help lower CA's energy usage however...it would cause a mass exodus from the state even more profound than the tax and energy policies enacted by the hippies, Public Employee Union running dogs and Mexican radicals who meet in the State Legislature and Senate to plot the further destruction of a once-great state. It would have been comical watching these clowns panic and buy electricity at five times the normal rate from crooks like Enron if it wasnt such a disaster for the state. And interesting thing about those eyesore windmills in Altamont, Rosamond and near Palm Springs; I have never driven by them and seen more than a tenth of them turning, no matter how hard the wind was blowing. We used to hear how destructive to the desert environment people driving their off-rod vehicles were, now these self-same environmentalists want to coat the desert floor with windmills and solar panels and build the roads and pylons to service them. This is proof that you really have to be an idiot to be a Democrat. Or to vote for one.
Havoc| 2.24.09 @ 11:13AM
We need many more scientists - and far fewer attorneys - involved in the production of electricity. When is the last time that a law school produced a notable scientist, anyway?
Thomas| 2.24.09 @ 11:38AM
A little known fact is that the NRA, under the Bush administration surveyed every single military installation large enough to house a nuclear power generating facility for that specific purpose. The reason was simply because activities that occur on military reservations are largely exempt from environmental regulations and lawsuits from environmental groups. And it is lawsuits, brought by environmentalist groups, that ultimately kill nuclear power facility construction. And every other power generation project that is proposed in this country. Coal, oil and gas all produce CO2 that is killing the planet. Hydro-electric power plants endanger fish and wild life. Wind power generators kill bats and bald eagles. I have no idea what negative environmental impact environmentalists will come up with to oppose solar collection facilities, but I'm sure that they will come up with something. As long as idiots sit on the federal bench, the energy crisis in this country will never abate.
Thomas| 2.24.09 @ 11:43AM
A correction, please.
It was the Department Of Energy in conjunction with the Nuclear Regulatory Commission that did the study. I did not mean to imply that the Nuclear Regulatory Agency was in any way involved.
Plamen| 2.24.09 @ 11:45AM
Great post which I have little more to add.
I was just puzzled by the 1000 acre forest needed to feed a 1000MW power plant. Seemed to be too low for me and I decided to do the math:
- A 1000MW plant that works 80% of the time produced roughly 7bln. kwth electricity per year.
- Thermal efficiency of modern plants approaches 40%, so best case this plant would need 7/0.4 = 17.52 bln.kwth of primary energy in the material it is burning, which equals to 6.3*10^16 joules
- Wikipedia gives standard recoverable energy content of dry wood to 16.2*10^9 joules/tonne
- So this power plant will need 6.3*10^16/16.2*10^9 = 39 MILLION tonnes of dry wood per year. Definitely not achievable from 1000 acres.
- Forest productivity varies by a lot of factors and I couldn't find good sources, but for example Chinese pine forest mean value is 4.35Mg/ha per year. If we take 10Mg/ha as a high end, this equals to 10 tonnes per hectare per year.
So this power plant will need:
39mln.tonnes / 10 = 3.9 mln.hectares per year = 9.6 MILLION acres of forest.
This is also equal to to 39,000 square kilometers, or a bit more than the size of Maryland.
Bottom line: We will need to harvest one Maryland state to feed one 1000MW power plant... Enough said.
Dustoff| 2.24.09 @ 12:23PM
Ken
How long have you lived in CA. Where you there (prior to prop 13) when the old, retired and young were losing their homes as the state kept raising the taxes left and right. Thanks to Gov Brown who never saw a tax increase he didn't love. He nearly killed this state and as we see now, the dem's are doing it again. They tax damn near everything! You need to get up to speed bud!
Dustoff| 2.24.09 @ 12:27PM
Thomas...
Have you ever been on a Base? Jezzz they have so many enviro rules you could scream.
You have any idea what they go thru to contain/have nukes?
Luonne Dumak| 2.24.09 @ 12:28PM
I think that all Casinos in Nevada should all electric power be powered by windmills and should only be allowed to be open for 12 hours a day to save electricity. Fire Reid and his Lobyist sons.
PolishKnight| 2.24.09 @ 1:28PM
I lived and worked in California for 10 years and eventually left because I believed I could start and raise a family there. Actually, the income tax there was lower than in the state I moved to, but work was unreliable. Companies such as Cisco and dot.coms layoff and hire in waves and I lived in constant fear and then the housing bubble hit making housing that much more unaffordable. Then the roads collapsed or were congested and now no eletricity.
California is becoming a third world nation with the middle class leaving in droves. U-haul offers a discount to people driving their empty trucks back to California because so many are moving out to other states.
Pingback| 2.24.09 @ 1:49PM
Commodities Broker | DrumBeat: February 24, 2009 | Commodities Options | Commodities links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Marc Jeric| 2.24.09 @ 1:49PM
I spent all my working life in designing power plants - all kinds: coal-fired, gas-fired, oil-fired, nuclear (24 of them), geothermal, solar, wind.
Let me just mention those true cuisinarts for birds - the wind turbines in the Sierras. After two years of falling production the maintenance teams went up to see what is going on. Around each wind turbine they found 6-foot deep layer of dead birds - eagles and albatrosses among them. The turbine blades were plastered with the entrails of those birds. Our "environmentalists" and Democrats have not said a word of this ecological disaster.
Jason| 2.24.09 @ 2:25PM
Why do Democrats insist on reviving the old, tired, failed ideas of the past?
http://www.rightklik.net/
HSR0601| 2.24.09 @ 3:13PM
The United States stands at a crossroads. The convergence of a deep economic recession, high unemployment, energy insecurity, and a looming climate crisis demands decisive action. Our country is embarking on an economic recovery plan of historic proportions. Investments in our public infrastructure will be made to get the economy moving, but we need to make sure we get the economy moving in the right direction. Jump-starting economic activity is only the start. The future of our nation’s competitive economic advantage and our long-term prosperity rests on the choices we make now—in particular, whether we build a modernized infrastructure for jobs and growth that uses resources wisely, anticipates the coming demand for low-carbon energy, and captures new opportunities for innovation and improved productivity.
Inaction today presents very real and growing costs. To allow a climate crisis to proceed unchecked will directly harm people’s lives and the prosperity of the global economy. Global warming presents the threat of lost agricultural productivity, drought and reduced supplies of fresh drinking water, the migration of environmental refugees (creating new global conflicts), and substantial economic damages and lost property for coastal communities. At the same time, our nation’s growing reliance on oil is a major national security concern. During the 1973 oil embargo orchestrated by the Organization of Oil Exporting Countries, the United States imported less than a third of its oil needs, yet constraints on supply at the time created economic, social, and foreign policy disruptions. Today, we import nearly 70 percent of our oil—at a cost of $478 billion dollars in 2008 alone—representing a major contribution to our national trade imbalance.
Yet solutions to these mounting crises offer real opportunity as well. Because buildings contribute fully 43 percent of our nation’s CO2 emissions, beating global warming will require that we retrofit millions of homes for energy efficiency, stimulating demand for construction jobs and advanced technology. Reducing oil consumption will require a renewed commitment to the fuel economy of our cars and trucks, but also the electrification of our passenger fleet through plug-in hybrid cars, revival of our automotive industry, and the conversion of long-haul trucks to run on domestic natural gas or advanced biofuels. All of these solutions will require new investments in more modern and productive infrastructure and manufacturing capacity—creating stronger communities that rely on the skills of America’s workers to build a more efficient and competitive economy.
In short, the answer to our economic, energy security, and environmental crises lies in rebuilding America—creating jobs and laying the foundation for sustainable long-term growth. Today there is plenty to fix. Our country’s entire infrastructure is in disrepair from years of neglect and disinvestment. The American Society of Civil Engineers has given the United States a “D” in infrastructure maintenance, citing more than $2.2 trillion of deferred and neglected investments in our roads, bridges, transit, schools, storm water, and energy systems.1 This failure to invest over the past several decades threatens U.S. industry, imposes costs on businesses and workers, and causes preventable harm to our communities. While the costs of inaction are staggering, the opportunity to rebuild the foundations of our economy and our public infrastructure is equally inspiring. Reconstruction must become a national priority no less urgent than the Marshall Plan.
Nowhere is this more evident than in our energy system, and particularly our electricity transmission and distribution grid. Largely unchanged in generations, we are now using yesterday’s technologies to power an increasingly global 21st-century economy. Previous waves of investment in electricity infrastructure were essential to building the global economic and industrial leadership that was the hallmark of the U.S. economy in the last century. As local electricity grids evolved into ever larger regional networks to connect vast swaths of the country in a complex grid system, energy became ever cheaper and more reliable.
The results? Large, central-station generating plants used abundant coal reserves to power the steel, auto, and other manufacturing industries that provided steady employment for millions in the Midwest. Investments in hydroelectric dams created inexpensive power and brought an aluminum and aerospace industry to the Pacific Northwest. And rural electrification ensured that the benefits of access to reliable and affordable energy brought economic development to every corner of the country as a fundamental principle of American fairness—from remote communities in Appalachia to the rural South, the Great Plains, and the Southwest. Forward-thinking investments in public infrastructure and dependable access to energy have touched every state in America.
Yet, these early-20th-century investments in our electric grid system have not kept pace with today’s global economy. Today’s grid cannot respond effectively to the most pressing new challenges we now face—from terrorism to global warming to ever-rising demand. Nor is our current electricity grid capable of capturing the opportunity created by recent advances in information technology; exciting new tools for producing radical gains in energy efficiency, reliability, and security; or the deployment of clean renewable energy at the scale needed to meet the clean-energy demands of a new century.
That’s why it is so important today to reinvigorate our economy by building new generation, transmission, and distribution systems for efficient use of low-carbon electricity. The transformation of our increasingly outmoded electricity infrastructure around the platforms of efficiency, security, reliability, and reduced carbon emissions will boost U.S. innovation and job creation in coming decades. Building a national clean-energy smart grid will create new markets, foster new businesses and business models, put people back to work in construction and manufacturing, and lay the foundation for long-term, sustainable economic growth.
This task will be daunting. As presently configured, the U.S. electric transmission and distribution system faces three major hurdles. First, we face a problem of geography and planning. The current high-voltage transmission grid imposes important constraints on the deployment of new renewable energy such as wind, solar, and geothermal power because it simply does not currently go where many of these renewable energy resources will be developed. Second, congestion and bottlenecks hurt the reliability of the grid overall, and particularly where it is needed to move large volumes of new power from remote generation to major loads.
Third, the monitoring and control technology on both transmission and distribution networks is weak. The lack of smart technology to provide utilities and consumers with better information in real time hurts the security and efficiency of the entire electricity system. The lack of such a modern, smart-grid network slows the spread of new technology such as solar panels on our homes, intelligent appliances to cut our energy bills, or micro-grids to help first responders meet natural disasters.
Although the United States has vast onshore wind resources—more than enough to supply 20 percent of the nation’s electricity demand by 2030, according to a recent Department of Energy study—the best of these wind resources are located primarily in remote regions of the country. These areas are generally located far from major centers of electricity demand and have little or no access to the “backbone” extra- high-voltage transmission lines that would be required in order to transmit power efficiently from these regions to major electricity markets.
A similar problem confronts solar power developers, who have identified sparsely populated areas of the desert Southwest as optimal locations for large-scale solar power stations. Absent major investments in extra-high-voltage transmission lines connecting these areas of the country to major markets, it is unlikely that the United States will be able to fully exploit these renewable energy resources at a scale that can significantly contribute to our national appetite for energy. The development of remote geothermal resources faces similar transmission constraints.
Yet just as fundamental as these current limits to bringing new renewable resources online is the sobering reality that our entire transmission grid infrastructure was developed in a pre-digital era for a completely different set of problems than we currently confront. Today’s grid-related challenges are much more diverse than those of the 20th century, and solving them will require a national effort to remake the grid with new technology, new investments, and new economic, regulatory, and political arrangements in order to improve the reliability, security, and efficiency of the electric grid, and to enhance its environmental performance.
The grid has suffered from systematic underinvestment in recent decades. Increased demand has outpaced investment, and congestion on the grid has grown as well, imposing a mounting burden on the national economy. One study found that transmission congestion currently costs consumers in the eastern United States $16.5 billion per year in the form of higher electricity prices alone.2 Congested transmission lines raise generation costs by limiting the dispatch of low-cost resources—even as they reduce grid operators’ flexibility to deploy low-emission renewable resources. Moreover, a backlog of 300,000 megawatts of wind projects is waiting in line for connection to the grid because of inadequate transmission capacity. Such congestion further limits our future energy diversity and consumer choice.3
A stronger power grid also will be more reliable, significantly reducing the staggering cost of power outages for U.S. consumers and businesses. The 2003 blackout in the Northeast United States and Canada, for example, caused an estimated $7 billion to $10 billion in economic losses.4 Today, however, we have the tools to improve real-time monitoring and control of the grid with advanced information technology. We can use this IT to better manage energy on the lines, to reduce disruptions, and to respond flexibly to disruptions when they do occur.
These modern smart-grid technologies are not yet widely deployed, yet they have the potential to reduce billions of dollars of costs attributable to power interruptions and fluctuations across the network. The Electric Power Research Institute, for example, estimates that electricity disruptions cost the economy upward of $100 billion each year in damages and lost business.5 With new investments in technology, these losses are increasingly preventable.
A more robust grid is vitally important as a matter of national security as well. Because transmission investments have not kept pace with increased demands, and advanced smart-grid technologies have not been broadly deployed, the grid is more susceptible not only to costly outages but also to both natural and man-made disasters. New grid investments are justified to make our energy infrastructure more resilient. A more interconnected grid will provide redundancy in the event of a failure in any single location and allow grid operators to respond more flexibly to emerging problems by bringing in generation from other regions.6
In addition, security experts increasingly identify cyber-security and direct terrorist threats to the grid as a substantial hazard for the entire U.S. economy, with a few targeted attacks to our existing infrastructure potentially threatening public health, safety, and commerce over vast regions. Hurricane Katrina showed starkly the debilitating consequences that power outages can have not only on citizens’ daily lives but also on the welfare and functioning of entire cities, from streetlights to pumping stations to hospitals and refineries. Clearly the security and reliability of our energy supply is a matter of basic public safety. The threat of global warming makes these concerns only more acute.
At the core of our response to these challenges is the humbling realization that the policy and regulatory structure that we have inherited for managing electricity transmission and distribution is not properly designed to meet the growing demands of a changing society. To rise to the current occasion, we must expand the grid to support dramatic increases in the penetration of renewable energy and improve its reliability, efficiency, and security. The status quo is no longer acceptable. But to take rapid and meaningful action will require not only new investment, but also more thoughtful regulatory tools and policy approaches to leverage the potential for large-scale investment into a robust 21st-century electricity transmission and distribution infrastructure that is resilient, clean, efficient, and affordable to consumers.
America has always prospered most when it invests boldly in infrastructure in the face of deep structural problems, “crowding-in” private capital through strategic public investment that opens the floodgates of individual ingenuity and innovation. Time after time—from canals to railroads to rural electrification to interstate highways to modern telecommunications—our nation has been successful at building large-scale infrastructure projects that advance national imperatives vital to our security, technological leadership, and economic growth. Constructing a national clean-energy smart grid is the next great challenge, and it will require similar public commitment, a national sense of purpose, and collective sharing of costs in order to realize far greater public benefits.
Rebuilding our electricity infrastructure for today’s challenges
The most high-profile transformation of our nation’s electricity system must soon occur in the power generation sector, where policy and investment decisions we make both for the transmission and generation sectors will shape how we power our future as we rein in pollution from aging coal-fired power plants. But at the other end of the grid, where millions of individuals make decisions about how they want to be supplied with power, consumers also must increasingly be able to actively manage their own electricity use, assisted by better information, new controls, green construction, and renewable energy built right into their homes and offices.
Critically, to make any of this possible, key enabling changes must be made in the electricity grid that connects our power plants to each consumer’s home. The electric transmission grid comprises both high-capacity and lower-capacity transmission lines that when properly planned and integrated make it possible to move vast amounts of power from remote sources of generation to our population centers. The grid is the essential enabling device that makes a new clean-energy economy possible. The grid allows the electricity system to adapt to unpredictable events and constantly changing circumstances. Only the deployment of a smart grid empowered by advanced information technology can manage these increasingly complex, efficient, and resilient networks.
An integrated, IT-enabled, national electrical grid is essential for improving security and reliability, but it is especially critical for bringing higher percentages of renewable electricity into our energy mix due to the variable nature of many of these resources. New information technology like advanced metering infrastructure is also key to bringing advanced home appliances and end-use technologies on line to capture new efficiencies. While grid investments are not “sexy,” they are necessary preconditions to enable both the generation sector and end-user changes that are needed.
If a primary national goal is to increase the use of renewable energy from current levels to 20 percent of our total electrical supply—a potential outlined by the Bush administration’s own Department of Energy—or even 25 percent, as President Obama has advocated, then we will need new infrastructure designed for the task. This will include substantial new construction of feeder lines to allow new large-scale renewable-energy projects to connect up to the grid. It will also require extra-high-voltage electricity transmission upgrades to the existing grid to permit that power from remote renewable-rich regions to reach consumers.
Similarly, if we want massive numbers of enlightened consumers to make smart choices about how they produce and use electricity, then they will need access to real-time information on the true costs and impacts of their energy choices and their patterns of consumption. This will require deploying “smart meters” or other technology for managing energy distribution and use both on a smart electric grid and in our homes.
A policy framework for the national clean-energy smart grid
Getting the 21st-century electricity grid that we need will require changes in federal regulatory policy and adoption of new incentives. This paper seeks to lay out a road map for Congress and the Obama administration on key policy changes with respect to the grid that should be considered and adopted. The underlying policy changes to accomplish this vision must include substantial reform of the regulatory structure for planning, siting, and paying for an extra-high-voltage backbone transmission grid and the new transmission lines needed to connect renewable generation to that backbone.
In addition, it will require modernizing distribution networks with information technology to produce an advanced smart grid. Through these policy measures, we can also address economic and national security concerns with policies that create good jobs and improve the resilience of the grid. Specifically, federal policy changes will need to include:
Planning undertaken on a broad interconnection-wide basis that brings together multiple states in a transparent and participatory process to maximize the use of new renewable resources and optimize the reliability, efficiency, and economics of the entire system, rather than the current fragmented state-by-state, utility-by-utility, or even regional planning approach.
Certification and siting done on a one-stop basis for new renewable transmission projects so that projects identified in a multi-state clean-energy planning process can receive consolidated review and approval, rather than relying on a system where multiple unconnected permitting agencies (in an uncoordinated process that must cross many jurisdictions) are expected to develop long-distance transmission lines as a new national priority.
Broad cost sharing to ensure that the expense of new grid investments is shared by all ratepayers, driving down costs and guaranteeing that no single state or region of the country shoulders the burden when everyone gains from the environmental, security, and reliability improvements delivered by a new national clean-energy smart grid.
Enhanced federal financial support for smart-grid technologies that will improve the capability of utilities to monitor and control this new national grid and give individual consumers the capability to better manage their own energy use. This federal financial support should include expanded incentives for deploying smart-grid technology across the existing grid, financial and technical assistance for state utility regulators and others overseeing this work, and federal grants to speed regional smart-grid pilot projects that demonstrate the further promise of these tools and expand their capabilities.
Connecting all of these clean-energy infrastructure investments to standards for job quality, increased training and workforce development, promotion of domestic manufacturing, and other public investments in smart long-term economic development, community reinvestment, and a strong American middle class.
In this paper we present a framework for federal electricity policy reform that will help to drive investment into building a truly national 21st-century electricity delivery infrastructure. This includes both the transmission and distribution of clean energy, as well as installing smart metering and related communications, and new controls throughout the electricity network to empower energy consumers and grid managers at every level with better tools and information. These grid policies will also speed a clean-energy future by allowing more cost-effective implementation of climate and renewable energy policies at the state and federal level.
Sensible design of smart-grid policy will have tremendous benefits in averting global warming, but it need not wait for the details of global-warming legislation to be worked out. The tools that will drive the construction of a national clean-energy smart grid are not dependent on the details of any future policy for climate change or renewable energy, and they can be implemented today without delay.
The policy questions we take on here are complex and have been contentious. In matters involving large construction projects such as the building of power plants or transmission lines, there is often controversy. It might involve fundamental questions about the need for a project, or concerns about siting new power lines, or the effect of the new lines on wildlife, the surrounding scenery, or property values.
Or the controversy might instead involve the allocation of costs for such an effort, or perceived infringement on the rights of a property owner, or the prerogatives of a local decision-maker, regulator, or elected official. Questions enough will arise out of these controversies. Why build? Why build this project? Why build this project here? And why should I pay for it? These all have been key questions in past debates over electricity infrastructure.
What’s more, the history of litigation on these electricity-grid decisions is long. That’s why the objective of this report—along with the dozens of writings and conversations that informed this paper and are reflected in its appendices—is to find a path forward to change the traditional course of this debate by proposing a broader framework for thinking about the choices before us, and to resolve the trade-offs in new ways that meet the key concerns of many parties. Such a constructive approach is needed to ensure not only that the coordinated national infrastructure our nation needs is built rapidly and effectively, but that it is built with keen sensitivity to the ancillary consequences of the construction.
Central to this effort to broaden the debate is a keen understanding of the clean-electricity “pipeline” of products and services that a new national clean-energy smart grid will enable—new clean-energy vehicles and smart appliances and exceedingly energy-efficient buildings and energy-generating buildings—which in turn will help slow and then reverse global warming. So before presenting our analysis of the problems plaguing our currently fragmented and out-of-date electricity grid, and then our solutions, we must first present a snapshot of what this new clean-electricity pipeline will look like, from source to use.
Building an integrated clean-electricity “pipeline” from source to use
Solving global warming requires major investments in clean energy. A necessarily dramatic reduction in carbon emissions means the United States must deploy clean renewable energy and radically improve energy efficiency at scale across the entire economy. This will require local investments in “smart” digitally enabled electricity distribution systems to integrate new energy resources such as solar panels, energy storage, smart appliances, or plug-in hybrid vehicles. It also will require a robust electricity grid, overcoming the fragmentation and bottlenecks that define the current network and provide inadequate linkages between the tremendous wind potential of the nation’s interior, the solar resources of the Southwest, the geothermal potential of our mountain regions, and the population centers on the coasts and the industrial heartland.
Put simply, a low-carbon economy will rest on the foundation of energy-efficient green buildings powered by wind farms and solar and geothermal power stations, but today we lack the wires to connect these renewable resources with consumers. Exciting technological breakthroughs in clean energy from utility-scale solar, wind, and geothermal energy and the smarter management of traditional energy sources are currently held back by the lack of a supporting infrastructure—and no single business, investor, or community acting alone can make up for this deficit of public policy, planning, and investment.
Interest in bringing new clean technology to market grows apace, yet efforts to upgrade our electrical grid to support these changes are complicated by difficult issues of land use, regulatory authority, and cost recovery. As a result, progress on clean energy lags behind growing public demand for action to build a real and lasting alternative energy solution.
The upshot: We need to modernize our entire energy infrastructure—from the point of generation to the electrical outlets in our homes—with a truly national information-age electrical grid that enables new markets for clean technology. Based on an understanding of the hard choices that have held up development of the electrical grid in the past, we attempt here to outline a way forward that advances the national purpose of building a well-planned clean-energy infrastructure while valuing the important role that local communities will play in guiding that planning and implementation.
A truly national clean-energy smart grid must consist of two distinct components: an interstate transmission “sustainable transmission grid” that will transport clean utility-scale renewable energy long distances to market, and a digital “smart distribution grid” to deliver this electricity efficiently to local consumers. The absence of a national grid that seamlessly integrates these two components is one of the biggest impediments to large-scale deployment of low-carbon electricity.
When the complex issues of transmission and distribution are situated within a larger context, and understood as a key connection in a larger clean-electricity “pipeline,” the public interest in building a robust national electrical grid is clear. Today the grid is a bottleneck in realizing a future where we can move electricity efficiently, reliably, and securely from the source to end user, from a wind farm or solar array to the motor of an efficient “Energy Star” home appliance or the engine of a new electric car. The clean-electricity “pipeline” that will power our low-carbon economy involves a number of distinct parts. These are:
Producing renewable electricity at a utility scale to rival large conventional power plants so renewable energy can finally become a major portion of total U.S. energy use, including harnessing the vast wind resources of the Great Plains and coastal regions, the wealth of solar power in the Southwest, and the barely tapped geothermal energy beneath the earth’s surface
Constructing an integrated long-distance and high-voltage sustainable transmission grid network designed specifically to serve these new renewable resources to deliver this energy reliably and efficiently to all parts of the country, and especially to population and industrial centers where demand is greatest
Developing regional smart grids for high-performance electricity distribution and customer interaction, to upgrade energy infrastructure with information technology that enables management of energy demand, improved conservation, and integration of distributed power generation in our homes, helping use existing power plants more efficiently
Transforming consumer energy consumption at the point of use by increasing residential, commercial, and industrial efficiency; by enabling customers to manage their electricity demand more efficiently; and by integrating renewable energy such as solar panels into their residences, or connecting plug-in electric cars in their homes to store clean energy and reduce dependence on oil
Connecting clean-energy infrastructure investments to standards for job quality, increased training and workforce development, the promotion of domestic manufacturing, and other public investments in smart long-term economic development, community reinvestment, and a strong American middle class.
When it is fully implemented, this clean-energy pipeline will transform our entire economy. Our new energy mix will include large-scale new renewable power plants, building retrofits, distributed solar power on rooftops, small-scale wind and geothermal power generation, advanced energy storage, sophisticated IT management of energy use, and the electrification of transportation through plug-in hybrid cars that connect, communicate, and support the grid. Consumers will see fewer price spikes due to more diverse sources of energy, which over time will combine with more efficient energy use to drive down family energy bills. Utilities will have greater reliability and a more robust network, and the improved technology will mean that we can build fewer power plants and release less pollution. But the larger plan is dependent on the existence of a new clean-energy smart grid.
Each element in this larger clean-energy pipeline, however, must be guided by a set of policies, regulations, and funding choices that direct planning and development of our electricity infrastructure toward low-carbon sources of energy, and that help build markets for private-sector innovation to drive down costs and accelerate deployment. For instance, policies to lower greenhouse gas emissions and encourage the use of renewable energy will be the engines for transforming the electricity generation sector, while energy-efficiency requirements and new incentives for consumers will drive changes in buildings, cars, and the efficiency of our energy use.
The proposals discussed in this paper focus on making critical changes to the policy framework for our electricity transmission and distribution system. These areas have received relatively little attention from policymakers, yet they are essential for enabling the types of dramatic transformations envisioned for the electricity generation and consumer use. Thus far, transmission and smart-grid infrastructure have not excited policymakers or the public nearly as much as the generation of alternative energy at one end of the energy pipeline and consumers’ use of energy-saving appliances and home retrofits at the other.
What’s more, the construction of new transmission lines can be a politically contentious issue involving complex regulatory policies and pricing concerns, questions of eminent domain, vexing matters of state vs. federal regulatory authority, financing, rate recovery, and many other potentially intractable policy debates. Similarly, upgrading the electric grid to support digital, smart-grid technologies requires a large up-front investment that is difficult to simply fold into the local rate structure—despite the substantial public benefits that accrue nationally from enabling increased grid reliability, advanced efficiency measures, peak-load management, and vehicle fleet electrification. As a result, while demand for clean-energy services mounts, real progress on the ground is slowed by this bottleneck in both policy change and infrastructure investment.
The policy calculus to implement a national clean-energy smart grid changes, however, when the frame of discussion is expanded to incorporate all of these steps in the pipeline. Building support for this larger national purpose is a political project that can overcome old stalemates, identify creative solutions, and enable new configurations capable of getting the job done. This broader road map for change will allow electricity utilities and consumer advocates, wind companies and union workers, environmentalists and ranchers, federal and state policymakers to all find common cause. By offering a path to the broad transformation of our entire electrical infrastructure on the foundation of radical gains in efficiency and deployment of non-polluting renewable energy, the outlines of an exciting coalition, and a more effective policy plan, begin to emerge.
Policies to support all the components of the clean-electricity pipeline also must include an emphasis on quality job creation and building a skilled and ready workforce. By focusing smart policy on the transformation of our electricity grid, the nation can ensure that green economic growth is a tide that lifts all boats, offering pathways into the middle class through skills training, better career ladders, and family-supporting wages in the construction trades and in manufacturing within the industries of the future. The clean-energy transformation of the United States is a strategy for broad-based economic re-development in many sectors of the economy and many regions of the country, and it must be crafted as a smart jobs and economic development plan, as well as an urgently needed policy response to global warming and our growing energy insecurity.
While all the components of this pipeline are vital and closely interrelated, in this report we focus specifically on building a national clean-energy smart grid—both transmission infrastructure for renewable energy and improved system reliability, and nationwide deployment of smart-grid distribution technologies—because this is a key barrier to this larger energy system transformation. Likewise, breaking through the logjam and modernizing our electrical transmission system will be a critical accelerant to deploying clean energy at scale, and realizing the creation of new green jobs and economic benefits.
This paper presents a set of policy options and offers a political road map to overcome the historic obstacles that have prevented progress on building a national, information-enabled, and tightly integrated clean-electricity grid. We attempt to outline here the choices that will be faced by policymakers, and highlight a potential policy compromise we think can satisfy the various concerns of a wide group of stakeholders, while producing progressive outcomes that maximize the net social benefit of building a national clean-energy smart grid. This policy proposal must principally be driven by new federal legislation, but it also can be enhanced and supported through executive action, rule making, state and local policies, and smart public investments.
The details of how we reach the political compromises necessary to build a national clean-energy smart grid are as important as the recommendations we make. In the pages that follow, we will first sketch out the challenges to building this new smart grid, then discuss some policy options for overcoming these challenges, and then make our own sets of recommendations about how best to proceed. Our policy suggestions are not exclusive, however, but rather should be viewed as the beginning of a detailed policy discussion that must happen quickly, intelligently, and with purpose in the coming months.
“Wired for Progress” Action Plan
A truly national clean-energy smart grid must consist of two distinct components: an interstate transmission “sustainable transmission grid” that will transport clean utility-scale renewable energy long distances to market, and a digital “smart distribution grid” to deliver this electricity efficiently to local consumers. The absence of a national grid that seamlessly integrates these two components is one of the biggest impediments to large-scale deployment of low-carbon electricity.
In this paper we outline a plan to develop such a secure, reliable, interoperable, national, and clean electricity grid to power America’s coming clean energy economy. Our particular policy recommendations focus on the principle bottle necks for building grid projects. These include:
A framework for collaborative multi-state planning to match new grid investments to our resource base
A stronger proposal for siting new transmission projects tied to this plan, giving greater power to the federal government but requiring strong state participation
Broad-based cost allocation to ensure that no single region must bear the cost of a national undertaking
Smart-grid investments and standards to deploy new information technology, controls, and advanced metering infrastructure on the transmission and distribution grid
In addition, major crosscutting issues affecting each of these areas include the need to address workforce development and training needs to build and maintain the grid, enhancing the security and reliability of the grid through these investments, and strategies to promote financing of projects, both public and private, to ensure that these grid enhancements are built efficiently and in a timely manner.
David J| 2.24.09 @ 3:17PM
A bad idea is a bad idea. Right and left have nothing to do with it. NOT using clean coal and Nuclear power plants is just plain STUPID! Hear me Ken? CalEEEfornya is Bankrupt - not just financially, but they appear to be mentally bankrupt, as well. Enjoy your Bankrupt state or change your ways.
John| 2.24.09 @ 4:30PM
I'll bet I'm the only idiot on this site who wasted 20 minutes of his life reading the entire posting of HSR0601 (above). On the other hand, I invite others to do so as well: inadvertently, it goes far toward explaining the principal reason for the current energy crisis--the people who earn their keep by grinding out jargon-clotted "studies" of the crisis are morons and ignoramuses. And they're in charge.
Paul| 2.24.09 @ 4:46PM
John, you are Idiot #6, Idiot #2 pasted in the press release, and the identity of Idiot #1 is not known or that person may not even exist. And there is no escape from the Village.
whyyeseyec| 2.24.09 @ 5:14PM
Reply to Ken: Ken, Calif problems DO NOT stem from Prop 13! Where do you get such a moronic idea?? Without Prop 13 there would be no home ownership in Calif. The legislature woud have taxed homeowners to death by now.
Prop 13 is used by libs for everything wrong with the state. Calif problem is the legislature has always spent more money than it takes in. Almost 60% of our yearly budjet is sucked up by schools and the teachers union wants MORE!! There is no MORE to go around.
I could go on and on but Prop 13 is not responsible for California`s maladies......
Collier Weiner| 2.24.09 @ 7:52PM
Which states mandated the renewable portfolios and what percentages?
Any state, federal or other tax incentives or grants involved, and where?
John| 2.24.09 @ 8:08PM
Paul: Oh. Thanks. I especially like the part about idiot #1 being unknown or nonexistent. Anyhow, the blather of HSR0601 put me in mind of a book I read 40 years ago, when the book itself was already almost that old: James Burham's "Managerial Revolution." Forget about left and right and socialist and capitalist and the rest of it. We've all been taken over by Ward Three managerial busybodies, people without a moral center or even the capacity for reflection--skilled only at elaborating and systematizing flawed premises with impenetrable directives aimed at the rest of us. The proof is all there in HSR0601: the arrogance, the smugness, the presumption, the studied ignorance, the ghastly prose .
We owe idiot #2 a grateful smirk for displaying the abomination, whatever his intentions were. But it's too late. The forces of darkness have won.
Bingo Live| 2.25.09 @ 12:09AM
In their wisdom, the legislators will mandate that by 2000-whatever the state or nation shall derive XX percent of its electricity from "renewable sources."
Pingback| 2.25.09 @ 1:20AM
DrumBeat: February 24, 2009 | The Oil Report links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Pingback| 2.25.09 @ 5:58AM
Harry Reid is determined to bring about an electricity shortage. - INGunOwners links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
whiterb| 2.25.09 @ 10:32PM
BobbyJ, that wild and crazy cajun dude, with a certain low key hip hop aura, could read that HSR roll of toilet paper manifesto in 5 minutes, and take on the crew of loons who crafted it in a debate and plant them on their heads. He be the Rambo of Wonks.
Pingback| 2.28.09 @ 9:57AM
Photomaniacal » Blog Archive » William Tucker Shares His Thoughts on Renewable Mandat links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Pingback| 3.2.09 @ 6:10AM
William Tucker Shares His Thoughts on Renewable Mandates | vladowsky.com links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
fdgfd| 11.25.09 @ 8:52PM
MOV Converter Mac,
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Pingback| 2.3.10 @ 10:51PM
Wind Turbine Generators Kill Birds; Can It Be Prevented? links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
STMIK AMIKOM menuju Research U| 11.15.10 @ 10:48AM
nice info..