The conventional wisdom has always been that Giuliani needs Romney to be taken out early, and thus benefits from a McCain win in New Hampshire. But could the reverse actually be true? Should McCain win in New Hampshire, he could emerge as the choice of moderate, primarily national security, Republicans–the exact space that Giuliani is vying for. However, if Romney wins, it’ll be hard for McCain to recover, and Giuliani would be in a position to consolidate the anti-Romney national security vote.
