John, I’ve always been skeptical of the idea of picking a VP candidate on the basis of whether they could deliver a given state, because I don’t think you can count on it. Most recently, John Edwards didn’t do anything for John Kerry in North Carolina, or anywhere down south, for that matter. There are arguments to make for why Romney in Michigan would be different, but my view the actual evidence isn’t compelling enough to make up for the rest of the baggage that Romney brings to the ticket.
