Jennifer, I don’t think it’s fair to cherry pick polls less favorable to Romney and conclude that Romney is struggling in the early states, especially because the results are starting to become erratic. The fairest thing to conclude based on the wide range of polls we’re seeing is that as of this moment, it’s a dead heat between Romney and Huckabee in Iowa, Romney is comfortably ahead in NH (how comfortable depends on the poll), and it’s a five-way race in South Carolina. The outcome in SC is impossible to predict without knowing what will happen in the other two states. Overall, at this point, I’d say Romney’s effectively unlimited bank account and organizational strength give him the edge. But that’s just at this point. Things can change a lot in a few weeks.
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