Another observation — don’t underestimate Ron Paul. His signs are ubiquitous in the state, and his supporters are as enthusiastic in person as they are in over the Internet. If his message resonates anywhere it should be New Hampshire, where he has several constituencies to pull from. There is not only a strong libertarian streak that runs through New Hampshire, but anti-war independents will be able to vote in the Republican primary. This is also a state that Pat Buchanan once won, and Paul could tap into some of those type of voters, given his foreign policy and immigration views. Don’t forget that this is a state in which Republican Sen. John Sununu opposed the PATRIOT Act, so a lot of Paul’s stances that get him dismissed as a kook among Republicans in other parts of the country, will resonate in New Hampshire. Now that he has millions of dollars to spend on TV ads, he can get his message out. Earlier this month, Jeremy Lott made what he called a “reckless prediction” that Paul could win 15 percent of the vote in the primary. After visiting the state, I don’t think that’s totally reckless. I believe there’s an outside chance he comes in third, perhaps forcing one of the top tier candidates to drop out of the race. To be clear, I’m not predicting that outcome. I’m just warning people not to be shocked if it happens.
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