Surveying the polling data in Senate races nationwide, we see that Republicans may come up just short of taking over.
Republicans are in solid position to pick up seats in Arkansas, North Dakota, Indiana and Wisconsin. And though the race is still tighter than the others, recently Pat Toomey has opened up a more comfortable lead in Pennsylvania.
In Nevada, Colorado and Illinois, Republicans hold leads in recent polls, but they’re within the margin of error. Then there’s Washington state, where Dino Rossi seems to have gained the late momentum, but the race is too close to call. Yet if you assume that all the tossups go to the surging party and give all of these Senate races to the GOP, that would represent a pickup of 9 seats, leading to a 50-50 tie in the Senate.
Under that scenario, Joe Biden would become the tie-breaking vote to give control of the Senate to Democrats. Unless, of course, Ben Nelson or some other Democrat decides to pull a Jim Jeffords and switch parties to give Republicans control.
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