The latest Gallup poll shows Rudy’s lead over Thompson widening back to 12 points, up 4 from the last poll and exactly the lead just after Thompson announced. Giuliani is at 32% and Thompson is at 20% — so perhaps neither the widespread media judgment nor the Thompson notion that regular people have embraced him is entirely accurate. He’s roughly where he has been since mid-June. As for Romney, something has not clicked — he is in 4th, only 2 pts. ahead of Huckabee. ( If you do the math on dollars raised per % of the vote that is an astonishing comparison. I believe it works out –others will correct me if my math is off — to approximately $6.94M per Gallup percentage point for Romney[including his own money] and about $306,000 per point for Huckabee.) The good news for Romney is that 40% of those polled still don’t know enough about him to form either a negative or positive opinion. McCain is in third at 16%. But all that may be scrambled by the debates today and on Oct. 21 in Florida.
UPDATE: Campaign Spot points to the unbelievably large number of “don’t know ’em” responses for Romney and Thompson. Perhaps the “don’t knows” are really the “doesn’t vote” group (the poll is of all Americans) or perhaps it’s an indication of how hard it is, even in the 24/7 news world, for someone without a previous national profile (Romney) or who entered late (Thompson) to break through. Now if they had asked “the Fred Thompson on ‘Law and Order'” there might have been a different result.
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