Some recent polls are going to support Phil’s theory of a missed window of opportunity for Fred. The American Research Group Poll has Rudy leading over Thompson 27% to 16% with Fred down 1 pt. from the last poll and Romney moving up from a prior poll 4 pts. to tie Thompson. McCain is fourth at 13%. Over at the Quinnipiac poll, Rudy again leads with 28%. Fred is at 12%, down 3% from the last poll and now in third place with Romney now in second at 15%, up five pts from last time. McCain is in fourth, down 4 pts from the previous poll. Overall we can see that Rudy is holding or increasing his lead (his poll average is up to 10.3%), Romney has clear momentum and we’ll have to see if Fred regains traction when he enters the race in a few weeks.