I notice that the new Zogby poll shows Florida mirroring the national polls, except that Rudy’s and Hillary’s leads are somewhat more commanding. This isn’t how things are in Iowa, New Hampshire, or South Carolina, where distinct dynamics are emerging (the strength of Edwards and Romney in Iowa, for example). Florida is being moved into the early-primary mix for the first time (the Florida primary is on January 29), so Floridians aren’t used to tuning in early. I’m begining to wonder what effect this will have, and I don’t have a good answer. Do Giuliani and Clinton have insurmountable leads in Florida that will propel them into February with the wind at their backs? Or will the Sunshine State be caught in a wave of momentum built in the first races, making Iowa and New Hampshire more crucial than ever?
