Charlie Cook yesterday reported that there “is no ebb in the wave” for Democrats, and he predicted losses of 20 to 35 seats for the GOP in the House. He said Republicans should expect to lose, most likely, five or six Senate seats.
In 1994, Democrats were in trouble because of tax increases, a failed health plan, and the crime bill (read, guns). There were also a myriad of scandals that started in the late 1980s that moved voters, including many Democrats, to reject the party’s candidates, including some once-popular incumbents.
One huge issue that Cook is ignoring, that was a non-factor in 1994: national security. That could make up the difference for Republicans.