Ohio's Shifting Winds - The American Spectator | USA News and Politics
Ohio’s Shifting Winds

A new Washington Post/ABC News poll (story here, full data here) has Obama opening up a 6-point lead over McCain in Ohio, a state that is a must win for Republicans. While voters still trust McCain more on handling terrorism and the war in Iraq, Obama now has a 13 point edge when it comes to handling the economy. If this were 2004, McCain would be in strong position — after all, Ohio exit polls last time around showed that a combined 30 percent of voters considered terrorism or Iraq their most important issue compared with 24 percent who cited the econmy/jobs. However, in the new Post/ABC poll, just 9 percent of Ohioans chose Iraq or terrorism, while 52 percent identified “economy/jobs” as their most important issue. Also, in 2004, the much-discussed moral values issues were the most important to 23 percent of the Ohio electorate, and Bush dominated among the group. In the Post/ABC poll, however, moral/family values were named by just 1 percent of participants. If you define the term more broadly to include ethics/honesty/corruption in government and abortion, that gets you up to a total of 8 percent for values-related issues. The bottom line, as I mentioned last week, is that the presidential campaign has largely been overtaken by events. The economy is now the issue and the Democratic candidate has a built in advantage because an unpopular Republican has been in the White House for eight years. It’s difficult to see what McCain can do to change these basic dynamics.

UPDATE: I will note that the CNN/Time poll has the race in Ohio tighter, with Obama up 3 points, and a Fox News/Rasmussen poll has McCain up by 1. Overall, the RCP average has Obama up by 3.8.

Sign up to receive our latest updates! Register

By submitting this form, you are consenting to receive marketing emails from: The American Spectator, 122 S Royal Street, Alexandria, VA, 22314, http://spectator.org. You can revoke your consent to receive emails at any time by using the SafeUnsubscribe® link, found at the bottom of every email. Emails are serviced by Constant Contact

Be a Free Market Loving Patriot. Subscribe Today!