Looking through the Indiana exits briefly, I see that the demographic breakdown of the vote is similar to what we saw in Pennsylvania, though Clinton’s advantages over Obama in key demographic groups are narrower.
Obama improved his performance in Pennsylvania among Catholics, weekly churchgoers, women, and by a smaller degree, whites overall (he pulled 40 percent of whites). He’s still having trouble with gun owners, and continues to trounce Clinton among black voters (winning 92 percent of their votes). Though, interestingly, according to the current exits, Clinton has a very slight lead among men.
Overall, if the data are accurate, I would say that the exits point to a small Clinton win in the state.