Before I make my predictions, caveat emptor: As I did in my Iowa picks, I offer thes more for fun than anything else, because there are way too many variables here to feel confident. (I got the winners in Iowa right anyway, but not the sizes of their wins. In New Hampshire, on the other hand, I offered no caveats, because I felt quite confident of what was going on, and I was closer to being right than almost anybody. This pick is more like Iowa’s than New Hampshire’s.)
Without further ado: Romney 33. McCain 29.9. Huckabee 29.8. Which sets up a real four-way dogfight in South Carolina among those three and Fred Thompson.
Again, don’t take that pick to the bank. In addition to the variables, it might be the wish being father to the thought: If I were in Michigan today, I would probably vote for Romney….