What now for the Republican-Conservative conventicle?
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Second, the Republican brand--reduced to ashes by the Bush
administration and wasteful spenders in Congress--has to be rebuilt
from the ground up. The foundation of conservative
principles--smaller government, reduced spending, strong defense,
and protection of individual liberties--is still there. If they
choose to rebuild on it, and reject the mantra of “compassionate
conservatism”--a quiet form of liberalism--they can succeed
quickly. We will lead them back from the wilderness. If only they
will follow.
It’s 1974 again, people. We have a lot of work to do.
Jed Babbin is theeditorofHuman Events.
Michael Barone
You can’t win ’em all. None of us wants to live in a country
where one party wins all the time. But no one wants his party to
lose, either. And for most conservatives, the Republicans will
remain their party, however inept and exasperating its leaders. So
what should conservatives think after their party has gotten
licked? A few thoughts.
One. This wasn’t--quite--a Democratic blowout. Barack Obama’s
margin was unambiguous but not overwhelming, less than George H. W.
Bush’s in 1988. Democrats have fallen short of 60 seats in the
Senate. Their gains in the House look to be less than Charlie Cook,
Stuart Rothenberg, and Larry Sabato forecast. Given the
fundamentals--party ID, direction of the nation, president’s job
approval, edges in money, organization, and enthusiasm--Democrats
reasonably hoped for more. The numbers look a lot like 2006. There
are a lot of stubborn Republican voters out there.
Two. The election returns suggest that Obama has built a
top-and-bottom coalition. The highly educated and urban affluent on
the one hand; blacks and (despite John McCain’s stand on
immigration) Latinos on the other. Yes, I know, it’s a little more
complicated: some grad school graduates are modest-income teachers
and social workers (imbued with all sorts of bad ideas from their
grad schools), and some blacks and Latinos are affluent while even
those who are not can make their way around in and up our society
(see Obama, Barack). I think there’s something unstable about a
top-and-bottom coalition. Not because its members’ economic
interests are in conflict (the Leonard Bernsteins don’t mind paying
high taxes) but because its politicians tend to support policies
that don’t work. Example: New York in the decades after Bernstein’s
famous party for the Black Panthers. Obama’s policies to tax high
earners more to hire more government employees will sooner or later
provide ground for complaint.
Three. Conservatives need to look ahead, not behind. Ronald
Reagan and William F. Buckley Jr. are dead. The America and the
world they did so much to change for the better has changed.
Conservative principles are still valid, but issues always need
reframing. Meanwhile, the Obama administration will give us new
things to oppose and--maybe--new things to support.
Four. Conservatives have two new champions, with the demotic
touch the Republican party always needs: Sarah Palin and Joe
Wurzelbacher. The 2012 ticket? Four years ago, Barack Obama was a
state senator.
Michael Baroneis a senior
writer forU.S. News & World Report
and principal co-author of The Almanac of American
Politics.
Jim Burnley
Having grown up in the South during the last years of
segregation, I believe that Senator Obama’s election is a
remarkable, and positive, commentary on how far we have come as a
nation over the last 50 years. Unfortunately, the first African
American president may also turn out to be our most radical
president.
Although he skillfully portrayed himself as a tax cutter during
the campaign, even getting to Senator McCain's right on health
care-related taxes, he also signaled his belief that the tax code
should be an instrument to redistribute wealth. From his opposition
to any restrictions on abortion, to his declared intention to use a
cap-and-trade system to outlaw new coal plants, and to his support
for changes in labor laws to expedite the rapid reunionization of
the private sector work force, he underscored his standing as the
most liberal member of the Senate.
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