The CIVIQS poll is a bit of an outlier among national surveys on Joe Biden’s approval rating, for a couple of reasons which shouldn’t make people discount its findings.
First, CIVIQS doesn’t do telephone surveys. It has built a sizable universe of polling respondents across the country, and it goes back to them periodically to run a tracking poll on Biden’s approval.
That universe is over 100,000 people. Not many polling organizations do this kind of thing.
CIVIQS also relies on online responses. That could be a factor that skews the results a bit — you could perhaps look at a purely online polling program and conclude it’s going to select out potential respondents who are (1) older and (2) downscale, in that those will be the folks less likely to have or use the internet (they’re a lot more likely to answer telephone surveys).
But all polling will have its flaws.
The thing about the CIVIQS poll, as it has tracked Biden’s approval, is that while it’s been an outlier among all the other approval polls out there, it’s operated on the leading edge of the curve.
CIVIQS showed Biden in the mid-30s in approval, and other polls showed him in the mid-40s. Then his performance in those polls gradually ratcheted down to where CIVIQS had him.
And the CIVIQS numbers gradually ratcheted down as well.
To the point where CIVIQS now shows Biden at a mere 30 percent approval:
President Joe Biden is underwater in 48 states — including the typically dark blue California and his home state of Delaware — while his approval rating is down to the lowest in his presidency, at only 30 percent approval and 58 percent disapproval, according to the most recent CIVIQS rolling job-approval average on July 3.
While twelve percent of survey participants do not approve or disapprove, Biden’s approval rating is underwater in 48 states. The only two exceptions are Hawaii (45 to 42 percent) and Vermont (44 to 38 percent). The president’s net approval is at negative 28.
Yup, that’s a disaster, all right.
It isn’t a joke, or at least it’s not completely a joke, to say Joe Biden is beginning to unite the country against him.
The problem is, nothing about this is funny. While partisan Democrats, whose numbers are sagging pretty badly as their party abjectly fails at every task of government where they’re in power, are still going through the motions and parroting the lines they’re given, virtually everyone else doesn’t just notice how bad things are but are getting angrier and angrier about it.
And Team Biden now thinks it’s a good idea to blame gas stations, which are mostly mom-and-pop small businesses with some of the most diverse ownership of any commercial enterprises and which operate on scandalously low profit margins, for fuel prices.
That tells you the numbers in the current CIVIQS poll probably won’t be an outlier for too long. And that if Biden slips into the 20s with CIVIQS in the near future, those numbers will be a harbinger more than an outlier as well.
The vortex continues to grow, and it continues to spin more and more rapidly. And we’ve all been sucked into it now. We still have two and a half more years of this transformationally awful presidency.
If there is any positive to be taken from this, it’s something I wrote about in The Revivalist Manifesto, my new book just recently released by Bombardier Books. One of the key theses of the book is that transformationally awful presidencies tend to wipe out the political party responsible for them for a generation, and begin entirely new political eras after the suffering of the public at the hands of the incompetents is paid back at the ballot box.
James Buchanan was such a president. So was Herbert Hoover. And Joe Biden is a larger disaster than either. At the bottom of his vortex is a completely new American story, and perhaps the revival we so badly need.