Democrats are right to be worried by polls showing their falling midterm margins. They got lost following this map two years ago. The reason for their loss then, and their legitimate worry now, is that President Trump won his votes…
The polls going into Tuesday are all over the place. Some are obvious and clear: Pocahontas will win in the tribal lands of Massachusetts, Gillibrand will win in New York, Hutchinson in Arkansas, Bernie in Vermont, McMaster in South Carolina. But lots…
With polls sometimes going one way, and with results sometimes going another way, do you ever get the feeling that someone out there is bi-poller? In 2016, Republican Pat Toomey was facing off against Democrat Katie McGinty for United States…
The Trump economy is quite the party. Stocks are soaring, jobs are easy to come by, and incomes continue to rise across the U.S. Yet, September’s IBD/TIPP poll, one of only two polls to correctly predict the 2016 election, is…
The Republican tax plan that won a majority of votes in the House and the Senate fails to win anything close to half of the public. Gallup found support from just 29 percent of Americans with opposition from 55 percent….
Tomorrow, June 8th, the British people will head to the polls to elect their new party and prime minister of their country. This election is vital to the future of the country when taking Brexit into account; as it will…
The latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll showing Donald Trump with a falling job approval rating — 54 percent disapprove to 40 percent approve — has gotten wide print and broadcast coverage. But most of the coverage has been on…
“Things are seldom what they seem.” So sings the aging “Buttercup” in Gilbert and Sullivan’s Pirates of Penzance. Similarly, the opinions and preferences that respondents reveal to pollsters are sometimes falsely reported. Brooding over some recently received injury to your…
The “October surprise” unleashed last Friday — a taped conversation from 11 years ago in which Donald Trump described his inappropriate sexual activity and indefensible attitudes toward women — has had some devastating effects on the Trump candidacy. New polling…