My and other accounts describe the candidates’ performances at the RJC. George Bush got 25% of the Jewish vote in 2004. At least with this group of voters(and based on yesterday’s reception) Rudy would seem to have the greatest chance to improve upon that. I asked Larry Sabato if it mattered and what would happen if Rudy in a general election got up to 35 or 40% of the Jewish vote. He said: “It could be very important as long as the election is truly competitive. The Democrats are on the move in Ohio, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire and maybe some other states. The GOP nominee has got to win some Blue states to balance out the Red or Purple states that go Democratic. Rudy’s pull among Jewish voters could make New Jersey and Pennsylvania more competitive. NY and California and Illinois are probably out of reach even for Rudy and his Jewish voter contingent. Votes taken from the other party’s column are worth twice as much as votes simply added to your party’s column. Most Jewish votes for the GOP are double valued in this way.”
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