An ARG Iowa poll earlier in the week showed only a ten point gap between Romney and Rudy. ONE Polls shows Romney cruising at 35%, Rudy at 12% and Fred and Huckabee at 11% and McCain at 7% behind even Tom Tancredo. This seems closer to the norm( Romney leads in RealClearPolitics by an average of 17.5%). This raises some interesting questions. Does Fred really try to win in this caucus state with zero organization or does he blow it off altogether for fear Huckabee and other second tiers will finish ahead of him? (As noted yesterday, he’s spending 2 1/2 days there on his kick off so perhaps he thinks he can’t ignore both NH– where the pesky New Englanders may be peeved about trading Leno for their debate– and Iowa.) Do McCain and Rudy continue to make a push or focus instead on NH, Michigan, SC and Florida? These decisions may turn once again on the primary calendar. If Wyoming is going to perch on January 5, Iowa may be pushed into holiday time and a dim memory by the time the January primaries roll around.
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