Some stark evidence for the missed window of opportunity. A new Strategic Vision poll shows Rudy up 34-18% in Florida which reflects movement of +4 for Rudy and -6 for Thompson. Romney edges up +2. As I have written elsewhere, Florida remains crucial state for Rudy and his best chance for a win before Super Duper Tuesday which comes a week later. He has been spending more time there and recently announced 32 county chairs. The state is diverse, expensive to advertise in and has a lot of transplanted Easterners but also Midwesterners. Perhaps the most important endorsement of the primary season: Charlie Crist, the overwhelmingly popular Governor. He and McCain have been close but with McCain’s difficulties it is not likely I think that Crist would throw he weight there. If I had to bet I would guess that Crist, who advises Republicans “not to tell people what to do every minute of their lives, but to give people choices ” and has marked a moderate change of tone if not policy since Jeb Bush, will eventually back Rudy. Had Thompson entered several months ago and begun laying the groundwork for his campaign it might be a very different race. For now, I’d put my money on Romney to give Rudy the toughest time –his organization(with the brilliant former Jeb chief of staff Sally Bradshaw and former GOP Chair Al Cardenas) is solid and he has money to advertise in the multiple media markets which make up the state.