UPDATE Manchin-Toomey 1 Nay from Oblivion

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Ed O’Keefe of The Washingoton Post reports:

Based on our analysis, here’s where things stand as of 5:55 p.m. Tuesday:

Yes: 52

No: 40

Undecided: 7 (Ayotte, Baucus, Begich, Heitkamp, Landrieu, McCain, Pryor)

Fate unclear: 1 (Lautenberg)

To reiterate, Senator John McCain (R-Ariz.) is leaning toward a yes vote, but the rest could easily go either way. One more nay would presumably doom Manchin-Toomey, which would all but doom the Democrats’ main gun proposal. Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) has yet to set a floor schedule. Stay tuned to the Spectacle Blog and on Twitter @TheGattoniCelli.

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