The latest Rasmussen poll, e-mailed to me by a reader, shows Pat Toomey up 21 points over Sen. Arlen Specter. Specter would win just 30 percent of Pennsylvania Republican primary voters to Toomey’s 51 percent. Specter only leads by eight points among the remaining moderate Republicans. If these numbers are right, Specter has a tough road to renomination ahead of him.



