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Nelson Caves

Sen. Ben Nelson has said he would support the health care bill, all but ensuring that Sen. Harry Reid will be able to secure the 60 votes he needs to set up final passage on Christmas Eve.

"Change is never easy, but change is what's neccessary in America today," Nelson said in a press conference this morning. "And that's why I intend to vote for cloture."

Nelson called the agreement to achieve 60 votes "an accomplishment of historic proportions," but warned that if there were  "material changes" to the bill in the conference committee with the House, then he would not vote for cloture on the final merged bill.

Reid was able to secure his support without adopting the Stupak abortion language that passed the House. While I'm still analyzing the tricky abortion language included in Reid's final amendment (which you can read here, beginning on page 38), it seems the difference is that states will be able to opt out of offering abortion coverage on the new government-run exchanges. The compromise still relies on a "segregation of funds" model with the idea that government subsidies wouldn't be used to pay for the abortion benefit in an insurance policy.

Meanwhile, Igor Volsky notices that Nelson's home state of Nebraska was given additional funding to offset the cost of the Medicaid expansion.

Nelson wouldn't comment on the Medicaid payment to Nebraska when asked about it in a press conference, but he defended the abortion compromise.

The way he described it, if a woman using government subsidies to purchase health insurance wants abortion coverage, she'll have to send one payment to the insurer to pay for the policy, and a separate payment if she chooses a policy that covers abortion.

Where does this leave us now? The Senate is expected to hold its first procedural vote on health care on Monday at 1 a.m. to stay on track for a final vote on Christmas Eve.

Next month, the House and Senate will reconcile their bills, which will then have to pass both chambers again before President Obama can sign it, which he hopes to do before his State of the Union address. At this point, the smart money would have to be on Democrats getting it done, but there are still obstacles to reaching a final agreement.

"Let me be clear: this cloture vote is based on a full understanding that there will be limited conference between the Senate and the House," Nelson warned. "If there are material changes in that conference report, different from this bill, that adversely affect the agreement, I reserve the right to vote against the next cloture vote."

The House is both more liberal and more pro-life than the Senate, and thus the bill that cleared the House (by a narrow 220-215 margin) had a public option and stronger abortion language. Many liberal activist groups have pushed for passage of the Senate bill, while still insisting on a fight for the public option in the conference. If liberals and pro-life House Democrats are insistent, it would complicate any final deal.

View all comments (24) | Leave a comment

Franklin| 12.19.09 @ 11:35AM

Why don't we have anyone with a backbone in Congress?

around the track| 12.19.09 @ 12:48PM

Why do liberals win? They know how to play politics with their members. Hope for the House? How naive--another regrettable characteristic of the right. Mark Levin has said it: the right must consider this a war! Nicities are out!

DrTomVoter| 12.19.09 @ 1:05PM

They don't play politics with their members, they just unashamedly buy their votes. If it was all about abortion for Nelson, how did the bribe for his state even come up? He is as principled as the average streetwalker. This is a done deal. They will buy the votes they need with our money.

Ned| 12.19.09 @ 1:35PM

I wonder if Dingy Harry has any FBI files on some of these so called hold-outs, just kind of lying around his office.

Shamus| 12.19.09 @ 2:23PM

The GOP caved as well.

They have many ways to fight bad legislation in the Senate, but they haven't done a damn thing to try to stop this bill. Both parties are completely useless.

Ned | 12.19.09 @ 4:34PM

It ain't their fault, it's the dumb sons-of-bitches who hired them.

BD57| 12.19.09 @ 5:53PM

What aggravates me is we (everyone outside of Nebraska) get to pay Nelson's bribe money.

Millie| 12.19.09 @ 9:20PM

I suppose the people in Congress can do whatever they want? This situation, in my opinion, is nothing BUT Blackmail. And isn't that against the law. Probably , except for Congress. They seem to be able to break the law whenever they feel like it. We now have two blackmailers in Congress. Get them OUT ASAP! Now we all have to pay their way for the next 3 (ONLY) years.

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stormin| 12.20.09 @ 12:34AM

Make that Sen. HasBen Nelson.

Reaganite Republican| 12.20.09 @ 12:31PM

If people weren’t pissed enough at the power-drunk Dems before, they likely are now…

These tools like Nelson will soon regret the day they did this for Obama, he’ll pull all them right-over the abyss with him… and then watch the coming GOP majority rescind it anyway-

http://reaganiterepublicanresistance.blogspot.com

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More Blog Posts by Philip Klein

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