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Not Partying Like It's 1994

By W. James Antle, III on 4.1.09 @ 1:57PM

Back in New York's 20th congressional district, David Freddoso reports that the absentee ballots already in and waiting to be counted lean Republican. That's the (relative) good news for Republican Jim Tedisco. But the fact that this even has to come down to the wire is not a very good sign and offers a reality check as to how little anti-Obama anger exists at this moment in competitive districts. I fully expect Republicans to win back many conservative and Republican-leaning seats currently held by Democrats in the next election. But we don't have any evidence yet that 2010 is going to look anything like 1994.

UPDATE: Here's an unconfirmed report that Scott Murphy's lead has dwindled to just 25 votes.

View all comments (3) | Leave a comment

ruth| 4.1.09 @ 3:01PM

Mr. Antle, your name should be Eeyore James Antle, III. We lost this district 68% to 32% just 4 months ago. I prefer to look on the bright side.

BJW| 4.1.09 @ 3:34PM

Good grief, the election is year and a half away. Give it a rest with the prognostication.

Scott| 4.1.09 @ 3:40PM

I concur with Ruth. This is a district that just reelected a Democrat, in a state where the state level GOP organization has been a bunch of incompetent boobs for years. Add to that a campaign by Murphy that played down his Democratic credentials (I can't tell you how many commercials I saw and heard that focused exclusively on Murphy's family and ties to upstate NY) and called Tedesco a creature of Albany (imagine a creature of Washington that went for a swim in toxic waste), and the fact that it's too close to call is cause for hope, not despair For Mr. Antle to act as though the failure of Tedesco to dominate is indicative of anything merely shows his ignorance of the facts on the ground.