On Tuesday late night, I tuned in to Fox News Channel during a commercial break on both CNN and MSNBC to affirm my worst fears. It was Sean Hannity’s time slot. I knew he would be basking in the embers of the latest exhibit in Donald Trump’s suicide mission for the GOP in November. I caught Hannity just as he was interviewing Laura Ingraham, second in championing Trump among conservative women, behind only Ann Coulter. I listened for about 30 seconds, which was all I could take. Hannity and Ingraham marveled at the massive swath of surging new voters allegedly mobilized by their Donald. I hurried back to CNN for more astute analysis from, of all people, David Axelrod and Van Jones, whose communist backgrounds I’ve detailed here for years.
Yes, folks, such are the signs of the times.
For Trump supporters still reading, hang in there. My intent isn’t to simply dump on your Donald in this piece. I’ve learned that I can’t turn you away from your man. When Trump said he could shoot someone in the middle of Fifth Avenue in broad daylight and his supporters would still back him, he was really on to something. Most chilling, that statement is, quite obviously, a horrible insult of his supporters. He slapped them in the face, and they smiled. He knocked them down, and they crawled back. How could you vote for someone who views you this way?
I used to say that Barack Obama could shoot someone and his acolytes would still fawn over him. It was true, but Obama at least had the good sense to not say so openly. Trump has no such good sense, and his supporters apparently like it.
Anyway, my point here today is to factually report crucial information contained within the data on Trump’s “huge” victory in five liberal Northeastern states on Tuesday and in New York the previous week. In all of these states, Trump finally surpassed the 50% threshold that had long eluded him. Yes, there’s no question he squashed Ted Cruz and the uninspiring, inarticulate, inelegant, often incoherent, and always inexplicable John Kasich. And yet, at the same time, Trump’s numbers also painfully reveal what many of us have been warning for months now: If Donald Trump is the Republican nominee in November, he will get blown out by Hillary Clinton.
And so, to borrow from Thomas Jefferson, let these facts be submitted to a candid world. As I write, which is the morning after the Tuesday vote, with AP data based on 99% reporting, here are the vote totals for Trump compared to Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders:
Notice a trend? Please forget the primary and look to the general election. That must be the focus. Note that Trump received fewer votes than Hillary in all six states and even less than Bernie in four of six. In some states, like Maryland, he was obliterated, with Hillary taking more than double his vote total and Sanders likewise getting many more. In New York, Hillary doubled Trump’s votes and Bernie likewise got way more. Those are New York values.
The only one of the six where Trump might arguably have a statistical chance in November is my state of Pennsylvania, where the overall number of Republican voters was closer to the Democrat total. But do not be optimistic. Every four years we hear the false hope that Pennsylvania might go Republican in the presidential election. I myself wrote a piece for The American Spectator on the eve of the November 2012 vote saying that I thought Mitt Romney might finally pull it off. It didn’t happen. It hasn’t happened since 1988. Philadelphia destroys our state. It’s like Chicago to the rest of sane Illinois. And given Trump’s record-breaking disapproval numbers, and the fact that countless conservatives will not vote for him in this state (I talk to them daily), I would bet a pile of money that he has no chance of winning Pennsylvania, especially if Hillary picks up the (breathtaking) 700,000 votes for Bernie in Pennsylvania — that is, the 700,000 ballots cast for a 74-year-old agnostic-socialist who honeymooned in the USSR.
Barring a major reversal by Ted Cruz as he goes West (which is actually still possible), Donald Trump is headed toward the Republican nomination, thus ensuring that Hillary Clinton will win at least 40-45 states in November. Trump still remains the one odd Republican who consistently loses by double digits to not only Hillary Clinton but Bernie Sanders.
The seal has been broken, ladies and gentlemen.
What a tragedy for conservatives. The year 2016 was going to be our year. We began with 17 candidates, many of them superb conservatives, and now we’re looking at nominating the one who was never a conservative and who would lose in a landslide.
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