People who don’t normally vote are voting in Florida and Nevada. People who had been registered to vote but never voted in 2012 are voting this election cycle. There’s been a lot of talk about the angry white people (working class men, women generally) this election but less talk about angry Hispanic people. Evidently, Hispanic people are coming out in droves to vote.
Dems win Clark by 11,000-plus, will be ahead overall there by 72K-plus, more than 2012. May be game over in NV for GOP.
— Jon Ralston (@RalstonReports) November 5, 2016
Nevada early vote figures:
Dems won Clark County by 72K, or 13.7 points.
A GOP official told me Trump could afford to lose Clark by 6.
— Eric Bradner (@ericbradner) November 5, 2016
This election will come down to turnout, as always. It may also come down to who is madder and vote more: white men or Hispanic people and women.
Should the GOP lose, and this is a big reason why, there needs to be a shift in understanding about who the American electorate is and why both the message and the messenger may need to change.