Phil: I have to disagree.
Midterm elections are usually decided by how well each side does among their base, so the 2% drop in conservatives surely did in a more than a few Republicans across the nation, especially with fairly close defeats in Missouri and, likely, Montana.
You are right that the War in Iraq was a big issue and helped Dems win the moderates. But a dispirited GOP base was a big part of the story this election.
