See if this rings any bells for you:
When France entered the world’s newest war against terrorism,
French officials boldly declared that the ragtag radical
Islamists they planned to oust from northern Mali would scatter in
the face of a modern fighting force.
But two weeks later, reality has sunk in. Even as they bombard
Islamist targets, the French troops are facing a military
landscape that is far more complicated than it appeared at
the outset, raising questions about France’s long-term
goals.
With no clear exit strategy, the French are
encountering a host of problems: Mali’s interim government
is weak, its military is disorganized,
and a long-promised African intervention force is far from
ready. Even as French troops worry about killing
civilians, it is unclear who the civilians are and
where their sympathies lie. Ethnic,
religious and regional rivalries, as well as old and
unsettled vendettas, also are posing obstacles.
The Malian army, which France sought to bolster with its action,
has been accused of committing abuses,
particularly against the Tuareg ethnic group, some of whose members
launched the March rebellion that has divided this West African
nation.
The parallels between Mali and Iraq are there, and we should
take note of them. Regardless of the merits of the Iraq war, right
now the United States can’t afford another long, drawn-out,
nation-building engagement.
Instead, let’s take this as an opportunity to finally
acknowledge the folly of blindly cheering for the Arab Spring and
capital-D-E-M DEMOCRACY.
As Daniel Larison noted, the Domino Theory in Mali is real, and
the removal of Moammar Gaddafi in Libya helped precipitate the
crisis there. With Islamists on the lookout for power vacuums, our
Middle East interventions can have unintended consequences the
likes of which we never imagined. Memo to Washington: learn that
lesson.
L.E. Powers| 1.25.13 @ 6:23PM
This also rings of the challenges France faced in Vietnam. I hope they consider carefully how to proceed. I bet they haven't forgotten Dien Bien Phu.
Mnestheus| 1.26.13 @ 2:03AM
The dominos in Matt's plapen must be 500 mles high--that's the distance across Niger from Liby to the nearest ( uinhabited ) corner of Mali.
Dai Alanye | 1.28.13 @ 1:00PM
Shades of Iraq? As I recall it took three weeks to topple Saddam's statue. Mali's not at the "nation building" stage yet.