The Chinese, who hold a humongous chunk of the U.S.
government's national debt, are getting nervous about America's
economic prospects -and they're right to be jittery- so they're
demanding security.
"We have lent a huge amount of money to the U.S., so of course we
are concerned about the safety of our assets. Frankly speaking, I
do have some worries," the Wall
Street Journal quotes Premier Wen Jiabao saying.
The premier called on the U.S. to "maintain its credibility,
honor its commitments and guarantee the security of Chinese
assets."
Short of registering a lien against the whole country, it's
unclear what kind of security the U.S. could give the People's
Republic that would satisfy our new Communist overlords. But when
the full faith and credit of the U.S. government, whose natural
triple-A bonds (called "Treasurys") are used as the credit rating
benchmark throughout the world, is beginning to be doubted by
bondholders you just know that America is beginning to get the
change President Obama promised - GOOD AND HARD.
Then there's the separate issue of what would happen if foreign
central banks like China's were to stop buying U.S. Treasurys,
whose proceeds Uncle Sam uses to fund operations.
It's worth noting here that Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton's trip to China last month during which she
pleaded with the Chinese to keep buying our debt didn't go over
so well. ("By continuing to support American Treasury instruments
the Chinese are recognising our interconnection. We are truly
going to rise or fall together," Mrs. Clinton said.)
There are at least two ways to look at the prospect of the
Chinese balking at buying more Treasurys.
If you're a statist who loves ambitious government programs, the
sky is falling, but if you believe in limited government, you
might optimistically argue that it's an opportunity to force the
U.S. to rein in spending.
Not so fast.
Given the current composition of Congress and the Obama
administration's determination to drive the economy into the
ground FDR-style with unprecedented levels of federal spending,
the inability of the government to find buyers for its debt would
lead to catastrophe. Such a situation, as Philip
Klein notes, "will eventually force the Federal Reserve to
inflate our way out of the mess by printing money to buy up the
Treasury bills that nobody wants."
Either way, America is screwed.
Maybe we could just give them California and call it even.
It shouldn't surprise anyone that China eventually will sour on
our treasuries. With Obama doing his best to threaten and punish
the "wealthy", consumer spending and private job sector creation
will continue to plummet. China now no longer views the US as a
reliable dumping ground for its exports.
China has its own stimulus plan: armaments. China is also buying
up the world's oil contracts. And as far as US debt is concerned,
it can wean off US debt and short treasuries.
Quartermaster| 3.13.09 @ 4:24PM
I'm for giving them California, with one proviso. Every Democrat,
and left wing Republican (e.g. Specter, McCain, Frum, et.al.)
moves there first. Beyond that, losing Cali would fall under the
head of civic improvements.
JB| 3.13.09 @ 4:28PM
Or, since much of our current debt is going to service previous
debt, we could just repudiate the existing debt China holds and
not have to issue new debt.
Call it the "non-democracy tax" and make it 100% on all
non-democracies holding US debt.
ruth| 3.13.09 @ 4:38PM
Screw you, too, Quartermaster, we've taken enough of your liberal
freaks as transplants; we don't need more.
Ruth -- I'm sorry you live in California with all the crazies. I
hope more like you start kicking some liberal butt out there and
take back your state.
You're welcome in GA!!
ruth| 3.14.09 @ 5:21PM
There are crazies everywhere, people just focus on my state. I'm
sick of it. If Vadum and QuarterMaster took one drive up Pacific
Coast Highway and saw the incredible, wild beauty of Big Sur,
Carmel and San Simeon, they wouldn't be so eager to hand Cali to
the ChiComs. Thanks for your offer, Deborah--you sound like a
sweet southern girl, but I love the Pacific Ocean, couldn't live
without it!
ruth| 3.13.09 @ 3:25PM
Screw you, Vadum. Don't offer to give away something you don't own.
USSA serf| 3.13.09 @ 4:18PM
It shouldn't surprise anyone that China eventually will sour on our treasuries. With Obama doing his best to threaten and punish the "wealthy", consumer spending and private job sector creation will continue to plummet. China now no longer views the US as a reliable dumping ground for its exports.
China has its own stimulus plan: armaments. China is also buying up the world's oil contracts. And as far as US debt is concerned, it can wean off US debt and short treasuries.
Quartermaster| 3.13.09 @ 4:24PM
I'm for giving them California, with one proviso. Every Democrat, and left wing Republican (e.g. Specter, McCain, Frum, et.al.) moves there first. Beyond that, losing Cali would fall under the head of civic improvements.
JB| 3.13.09 @ 4:28PM
Or, since much of our current debt is going to service previous debt, we could just repudiate the existing debt China holds and not have to issue new debt.
Call it the "non-democracy tax" and make it 100% on all non-democracies holding US debt.
ruth| 3.13.09 @ 4:38PM
Screw you, too, Quartermaster, we've taken enough of your liberal freaks as transplants; we don't need more.
Deborah| 3.14.09 @ 1:34PM
Ruth -- I'm sorry you live in California with all the crazies. I hope more like you start kicking some liberal butt out there and take back your state.
You're welcome in GA!!
ruth| 3.14.09 @ 5:21PM
There are crazies everywhere, people just focus on my state. I'm sick of it. If Vadum and QuarterMaster took one drive up Pacific Coast Highway and saw the incredible, wild beauty of Big Sur, Carmel and San Simeon, they wouldn't be so eager to hand Cali to the ChiComs. Thanks for your offer, Deborah--you sound like a sweet southern girl, but I love the Pacific Ocean, couldn't live without it!