By W. James Antle, III on 10.23.09 @ 6:09AM
Conservative activists are no longer a sure bet to play the role
of good Republican footsoldier.
When taxpayers and conservative activists began holding tea
parties to protest an out-of-control federal government's
unsustainable growth, it was not entirely unreasonable to ask:
Where were these people for the last eight years?
George W. Bush and the Republican-controlled Congress increased
discretionary spending at twice the rate that prevailed under
Bill Clinton. This dynamic duo produced a bloated transportation
bill, an expensive energy bill, No Child Left Behind,
Sarbanes-Oxley, and a witches' brew of legislation expanding the
size and cost of the federal government. Federal outlays as a
share of GDP increased from 18.4 percent to 20.9 percent.
In eight years, Washington went from running a $128 billion
surplus to a $1.2 trillion deficit. Instead of recognizing that
the major federal retirement programs were going broke, Bush and
his supporters created a prescription drug benefit that increased
Medicare's unfunded liabilities. It was the biggest new
entitlement since the Great Society. The wars in Iraq and
Afghanistan were pushed off budget to prevent the country's
fiscal picture from looking even gloomier. Bush left office
having rammed through a bipartisan $700 billion Wall Street
bailout.
Barack Obama came into office and promptly made most of these
problems worse, staying on the road to bankruptcy but pushing the
accelerator all the way down to the floor. The silence of too
many Republicans -- and even conservatives -- in the face of GOP
fiscal irresponsibility complicated the case against Obama's
gargantuan spending plans. "Until conservatives once again hold
Republicans to the same standard they hold Democrats," Bruce
Bartlett
complained earlier this year, "they will have no credibility
and deserve no respect."
Ask and ye shall receive. Conservatives in general and the Tea
Party movement are increasingly directing their fire at
Republicans who govern like Democrats. The strongest sign yet has
been in New York's 23rd congressional district, where local
Republicans nominated a liberal who supports card check and
same-sex marriage but won't forthrightly disavow either tax
increases or a health care bill that funds abortion.
Dede Scozzafava won't even commit to how long she'll support
House Minority Leader John Boehner for speaker. Faced with
persistent questions from John McCormack, a conservative young
reporter from the Weekly Standard, aimed at discerning
her predilection for pulling an Arlen Specter, Scozzafava
called the cops. Her press secretary later released an e-mail
exchange with McCormack they thought would vindicate their
position, only to find that even Daily Kos
agrees with the Standard on this dust-up.
This prompted a virtual stampede of conservative bloggers and
activists to come forward
and demand
that Scozzafava drop out of the race. It has sent an even bigger
flood of conservatives, both within and outside the district, to
support Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman over
Scozzafava. A Sienna College poll found that 23 percent of the
district's likely voters now intend to cast their ballots for
Hoffman, a 7-point jump in two weeks, compared to 29 percent for
Scozzafava and 33 percent for Democrat Bill Owens.
Normally, the argument that voting for a third-party candidate on
the right is morally equivalent to voting for a Democrat keeps
many a disenchanted conservative in the GOP fold. There is a
chance that the split between Hoffman and Scozzafava will lead to
a Democrat representing New York's 23rd District for the first
time since 1872. "GOP squabbling jeopardizes N.Y. Seat," crowed
the headline writers at the Washington Post.
Yet this time many conservatives are asking: Do we not in effect
get a legislator liberal enough to be a Democrat even if
Scozzafava wins? Aren't their higher principles at stake in this
election than (maybe) securing a vote for Boehner for speaker? If
enough conservatives think these questions through, New York just
might see a repeat of James Buckley's surprise 1970 victory over
a Republican and a Democrat on the Conservative Party line.
Dick Armey traveled to New York to campaign for Hoffman and
against the GOP nominee. As House majority leader, he
occasionally voted for Bush policies that he personally opposed
-- he has since named No Child Left Behind and the Iraq war as
the two biggest examples -- but has since decided that sometimes
party loyalty asks too much. "We've struggled with a Republican
party ... that has lost its way," he said in the Empire State.
"They don't remember about Reagan ... they don't remember about
small government. They let their thinking be controlled by
self-serving political objects. And frankly, they made a lot of
fools out of themselves."
Republicans who voted for the bailout routinely find themselves
booed when they try to speak at Tea Party events. The eight House
Republicans who broke with their party and voted for a climate
change bill including a costly cap-and-trade scheme, they were
denounced by the grassroots as "cap and traitors." When the
National Republican Senatorial Committee and other Washington GOP
power brokers pull out all the stops for moderate primary
candidates -- including two of the cap and traitors
-- conservative activists pledge not to pull out their
wallets.
One former Bush speechwriter claims that while reviewing the
draft of a speech to the Conservative Political Action
Conference, the president said, "Let me tell you something. I
whupped Gary Bauer's ass in 2000. So take out all this movement
stuff. There is no movement." Even if the story is apocryphal, it
does do a good job of capturing much of the conservative
movement's relationship with the Bush-era GOP.
Conservatives may finally be in the mood to return the favor by
giving errant Republicans a whupping of their own.
topics:
Conservatism, Republican Party