By William Tucker on 11.10.08 @ 6:08AM
The news is becoming more depressing every day.
I subscribe to an Internet newsletter called Energy
Central and the news is getting more depressing every week.
Every time I scan the headlines I realize I'm looking at another
piece of a gathering energy debacle.
Take last Thursday's edition. Right at the top of the page was
the story, "Xcel Energy, eXco Join in Major Wind Farm
Developments in Minnesota, North Dakota." It's like this every
day. Wind farms of sprouting up all over the country like
65-story mushrooms. The North American Reliability Council
estimates we will have 175,000 megawatts of new capacity by 2017
(that's the equivalent of 175 major coal or nuclear plants).
Unfortunately, it admits, "only approximately 23,000 MW…is
projected to be available on peak." That means these windmills
will be idle most of the time. Coal plants operate at 65 percent
capacity, nuclear rims at 90 percent. But at best windmills
produce only 30 percent of their "nameplate capacity" and they
are almost useless on torpid summer days. California has found
its windmills running at only 3 percent capacity on hot summer
days.
Never mind, we are forging ahead anyway. Right under the
Minnesota story is a report that New York Attorney General Andrew
Cuomo has laid down a "wind farm code of ethics" governing
dealings between wind companies and municipal officials. It seems
that several windmill manufacturers are following the
tried-and-true pattern of bribing municipal officials by hiring
them as "consultants" in seeking zoning and other approvals.
Although you'd never know it, there are actually folks out there
in the hinterland that don't like the idea of littering the
landscape with these nearly useless monstrosities. However, those
folks are being steamrolled in the march toward alternate energy
utopia. As Attorney General Cuomo remarks, "Wind power is an
exciting industry that will be a cornerstone of our energy
future."
Next comes a story, "More Study is Ordered Before Savannah River
Dredging Starts: An NRC Board Says the Environmental Impact Has
Not Been Addressed." The Alvin W. Vogtle Nuclear Generating
Station in Burke County, Georgia, has two 1,200-MW reactors
sitting on the Savannah River, directly across from the federal
nuclear processing facilities in South Carolina. Now Southern
Nuclear, which owns Vogtle, wants to build two new 1,000-MW
reactors as part of the nuclear renaissance.
Environmental groups have immediately taken up the challenge,
arguing that dredging the Savannah River to allow barge delivery
of reactor parts will damage the river. The Savannah was dredged
regularly for more than a century until the Army Corps of
Engineers gave up in 1980 because nothing much was happening on
the river. Now environmental groups say a renewal will ruin the
environment. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission has nodded
agreement and will require an environmental impact statement
before early site clearance can begin. That will probably add
three years to the project.
I hadn't been following Vogtle so I googled it and discovered a
manifesto from the Women's Action for New Directions (WAND), a
major anti-nuclear opponent. WAND was issuing a call to other
organizations around the country to join their crusade. The
appeal appears on the Community Blog page of "My Barack Obama," the
campaign's effort to organize community groups in support of the
candidacy.
IT'S EASY TO SEE where this is leading. President-elect Obama
says he supports nuclear "in principle," but then so does the
Union of Concerned Scientists, which has opposed reactors for 35
years. Obama also opposes Yucca Mountain, which is a shibboleth
among opposition groups. Ironically, Yucca Mountain only became
necessary when Jimmy Carter canceled nuclear fuel reprocessing in
1977, creating the so-called problem of "nuclear waste." France
has pursued reprocessing and stores all its high-level waste from
40 years of producing 75 percent of its electricity in one room
at Le Havre.
Rather than heeding this example, however, the Obama
Administration is much more likely to do exactly what California
did during the 1980s and 1990s -- stall both coal and nuclear
construction while adopting huge subsidies and mandates for
"renewable energy." Within a decade we could find ourselves where
California was in 2000 -- saddled with huge quantities of
expensive "alternate" energy while not having enough electricity
to run its traffic lights.
Is this depressing enough? Well, try the next story on Energy
Central, "Russia Offers to Cooperate With Brazil in Nuclear
Sector." The rest of the world, you see, is forging ahead with
nuclear power. France is already at 80 percent nuclear, Korea is
planning 11 new reactors, China is building four plants with a
Japanese technology named "Westinghouse." India is exploring
thorium technology, France is penetrating the Middle East, Russia
is powering Siberian villages with small reactors built on
barges. Japan Steel Works, the only company in the world that
makes steel reactor vessels, has a four-year waiting list.
France, Russia, and Japan are all reprocessing. Now Russia is
selling Brazil a whole package that will include uranium mining,
small reactors for remote areas, and probably eventually
reprocessing as well.
In 1982, President Reagan lifted Jimmy Carter's ban on fuel
reprocessing but, given the climate in this country, American
industry has never been willing to reinvest. In speaking before
groups about the possibilities of a nuclear renaissance, I am
often asked, "What would it take to revive reprocessing in this
country?" In all honesty, I have to respond, "I think we'll have
to ask the French to do it for us."
Reading the latest, I realize I may be wrong. It may be the
Russians we have to ask instead.
topics:
Barack Obama, Energy