A new poll released by the Club for Growth shows Doug Hoffman leading in NY-23, with Dede Scozzafava in third place:
A poll released today by the Club for Growth shows Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman surging into the lead in the special election in New York’s 23rd congressional district to replace John McHugh, the former congressman who recently became Secretary of the Army.
The poll of 300 likely voters, conducted October 24-25, 2009, shows Conservative Doug Hoffman at 31.3%, Democrat Bill Owens at 27.0%, Republican Dede Scozzafava at 19.7%, and 22% undecided. The poll’s margin of error is +/- 5.66%. No information was provided about any of the candidates prior to the ballot question.
Important caveats: The sample size is small, the undecided vote is large, Hoffman’s lead is well within the nearly 6 percent margin of error, and the Club for Growth has endorsed Hoffman. But Hoffman is clearly a lot further along than it once seemed likely. Robert Stacy McCain reports on the main site today.