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Study: 83 Mln Would Lose Private Health Coverage Under House Dem Plan

By on 7.20.09 @ 12:16PM

Democrats and President Obama have denied that the creation of a new government-run health care plan would be a Trojan Horse for single-payer health care, but a new report by the Lewin Group (comissioned by the Heritage Foundation) finds that the House Democrats’ health care bill would shift more 83.4 million Americans from private health care coverage to the government plan. To put that in perspective, that would mean that nearly half (48.4 percent) would lose their private health coverage. In all, the government plan would have 103.4 million members once implemented, according to the Lewin analysis. President Obama has repeated the mantra that anybody who likes their health insurance plan can keep it, but in reality about 63 percent of covered Americans get their health care through their employers, and if employers decide to drop their current health plans in favor of the government plan, workers won’t have any choice but to sign up.

Here’s a Lewin chart titled, “Changes in Sources of Coverage under the American Affordable Health Choices Act Assuming Full Implementation in 2011 (millions)”:

The reason for the dramatic shift is that the Lewin Group has anticipated that with government setting lower reimbursement rates for doctors, hospitals and other health care providers, the government plan will offer lower premiums than private plans. However, the flip side is that the Congressional Budget Office estimates providers will lose $361.9 billion in revenue over the next decade if the House bill is passed. That will mean lower quality of care, shortages in doctors and hospitals, and/or increased shifting of costs on to those with private health care. Should further cost-shifting occur, it will then in turn erode private health care coverage even more dramatically.

UPDATE: Over at Investor’s Business Daily, David Hogberg explores the key question concerning whether the government plan will be operating on a level playing field: will a government-run plan be allowed to fail?

View all comments (53) |

Pingback| 7.20.09 @ 12:40PM

Michelle Malkin » Glimpse of Obamacare future: 83 million would lose private coverage links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…Americans from private health care coverage to the government plan. To put that in perspective, that would mean that nearly half (48.4 percent) would lose their private health coverage.” – Philip Klein, TAS Posted in: Health care Send to a Friend Printer Friendly comments (0)      trackbacks (0) Add your opinion Note from Michelle: This section is for comments from michellemalkin.com's…

Pingback| 7.20.09 @ 1:49PM

As more people learn about ObamaCARE, the less people support it. 83 million would lo links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

Us RSS As more people learn about ObamaCARE, the less people support it. 83 million would lose their private coverage under ObamaCARE Actually, to be more precise, its 83.4 million according to American Spectator. This would mean that nearly half or 48.4% would lose their private health coverage, and shift those people to government run plans. In all, the government plan would have 103.4 million members…

Pingback| 7.20.09 @ 3:09PM

Bent Notes » Blog Archive » “The option to keep their current plan” will be meaningle links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…Here’s another country that makes no apologies for its sovereignty “The option to keep their current plan” will be meaningless  . . . for the 83 million Americans who will lose their current plans as employers bail if socialist health care is implemented. Premiums will be cheaper through the government, but that will be meaningless, too, since you’ll make it up in taxes. This entry was…

Pingback| 7.20.09 @ 7:45PM

Hot Air » Blog Archive » Video: If ObamaCare was a restaurant links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…though: The part where the richest diners are asked to pick up the tab for everyone until it turns out that they can’t afford it, whereupon it’s separate checks for everyone! Also missing: The numbers that show just what an egregious fraud Obama is committing when he tells people they’ll be allowed to keep their private insurance plans if they like them. Blowback Note from Hot Air management:…

Pingback| 7.20.09 @ 8:55PM

Study: 83 Million Would Lose Private Insurance Under ObamaCare : The American Pundit links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

Contact Us Privacy Policy Submit A Post T&C Jul 20 Study: 83 Million Would Lose Private Insurance Under ObamaCare by Stephan Tawney Via Michelle Malkin, Philip Klein of The American Spectator points to a study that shows just how bad ObamaCare would be for those currently with private insurance. Not only would those Americans have to pay for the socialized healthcare through their taxes, but 83 million of…

Pingback| 7.20.09 @ 9:17PM

President Obama’s Plan of Massive Deficit Spending Is Destroying The US Economy–The A links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…million Americans from private health care coverage to the government plan. To put that in perspective, that would mean that nearly half (48.4 percent) would lose their private health coverage.” – Philip Klein, TAS *** Related: Read Cliff Asness on health care mythology. The government does not co-exist or compete fairly with private enterprise. It does not play well with others. The regulator cannot be a…

Pingback| 7.20.09 @ 11:09PM

Health Care BS - QUESTION FOR PETER SINGER: WHO’S “WE”? links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…mean by “we.” When these people say we need to do something, what they really mean is the state needs to do something to us, like creating inefficiencies in the system or  wrecking the health insurance industry. Post a Comment Your email is never published nor shared. Required fields are marked * Name * Email * Website Message « CANADIAN HEALTH CARE: THE GROTESQUE REALITY « Home…

Pingback| 7.21.09 @ 4:03AM

New Lewin study: 83 Million would lose private health coverage under Obamacare « Wint links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…Commentary Events Humor Mentoring News Podcasts Polemics Videos Older » 07/21/2009 • 4:00 AM New Lewin study: 83 Million would lose private health coverage under Obamacare Story from the American Spectator. (H/T ECM) Excerpt: Democrats and President Obama have denied that the creation of a new government-run health care plan would be a Trojan Horse for single-payer health care, but a new…

Pingback| 7.21.09 @ 10:32AM

Washington Planner » Tuesday Required Reading links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…Got a blind item, gossip, a link, birthday, or anything of the sort for Washington Planner? Drop us a line at tips@americasfuture.org. Blogs A Heritage Foundation study shows that 83 million would lose their private insurance under Obamacare. Also: John McCormack points out the inevitable - that Obamacare would make public and private insurance plans cover abortion. And get this: even the hospital that…

Pingback| 7.21.09 @ 12:14PM

“It will be a cold day in hell before he socializes my country!” : Pursuing Holiness links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…She also pushed the new talking point recently introduced by Donna Brazile about the “underinsured” and even tacked on an additional 5 million. No comment on the 83 million who will lose their private insurance if the House Democrats’ bill passes. Although the town hall was held in the middle of the work day with very little notice or publicity, the meeting room was packed. There was a line 20…

Pingback| 7.21.09 @ 12:22PM

The Greenroom » Forum Archive » “It will be a cold day in hell before he socializes m links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…She also pushed the new talking point recently introduced by Donna Brazile about the “underinsured” and even tacked on an additional 5 million. No comment on the 83 million who will lose their private insurance if the House Democrats’ bill passes. Although the town hall was held in the middle of the work day with very little notice or publicity, the meeting room was packed. There was a line 20…

Mike| 7.21.09 @ 1:09PM

And why would we believe this report based on speculation rather than fact; contracted by a conservative organization. Should I start believing all things from MSNBC as well?

Pingback| 7.21.09 @ 2:23PM

So You Want “Free” Health Care? « Ask Merlin links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…health care coverage to the government plan. To put that in perspective, that would mean that nearly half (48.4 percent) would lose their private health coverage.” Don’t believe me? Here’s the link. -”Currently, the top rate is 35 percent. But in his budget President Obama proposed raising the top two income tax rates from 33 and 35 percent to 36 and 39.6 percent. Families in the top…

Pingback| 7.22.09 @ 2:29PM

Obamacare: Sacrifice for All Except Dem Donors links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…For the millions ineligible for Medicaid or insurance subsidies, non-compliance with the individual mandate will lead to a tax penalty. And in Obamacare’s coup de grace, 83 million individuals will lose their private health coverage. Could this toxic formula have been avoided?  Could the middle class have been asked to bear its burden without the accelerated inflation in health care costs and loss of…

Pingback| 7.22.09 @ 4:37PM

Know Why You Oppose Nationalized Healthcare « Jane Q. Republican links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…health care coverage to the government plan. To put that in perspective, that would mean that nearly half (48.4 percent) would lose their private health coverage.” Don’t believe me?  Here’s the link. -”Currently, the top rate is 35 percent. But in his budget President Obama proposed raising the top two income tax rates from 33 and 35 percent to 36 and 39.6 percent. Families in the top…

Pingback| 7.22.09 @ 4:39PM

Know Why You Oppose Nationalized Healthcare « Asheville “Tea Party” Protest links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…health care coverage to the government plan. To put that in perspective, that would mean that nearly half (48.4 percent) would lose their private health coverage.” Don’t believe me?  Here’s the link. -”Currently, the top rate is 35 percent. But in his budget President Obama proposed raising the top two income tax rates from 33 and 35 percent to 36 and 39.6 percent. Families in the top…

Pingback| 7.22.09 @ 7:45PM

Reviewing the Excerpts of Obama’s Press Conference Remarks : The American Pundit links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…talking about legislation with a price tag now over $1.4 trillion. If we do not act, 14,000 Americans will continue to lose their health insurance every single day. Of course, a study released just the other day shows that 83 million Americans will likely lose their insurance if ObamaCare passes. But we can’t let that little fact get in the way of HopenChange. If you already have health…

Pingback| 7.22.09 @ 11:47PM

Guess the Repressive Regime with Auntie Rosita. This Week’s Topic: State-Administered links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…Is this kind of a big assumption, maybe, I’m not sure. And I didn’t get it. So I kept thinking. Then it occurred to me that under Obamacare instantaneously about 83.4 million people will switch to government health insurance. The plan is really a Trojan Horse that will destroy private health insurance, so that the government becomes the only health care provider. It also occurred to me that…

Pingback| 7.23.09 @ 2:03AM

Health Care Coverup | NextGenGOP.com | The Future of the Republican Party links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…study to see how many businesses would be squeezed by this plan and the ensuing rate hikes of private insurers as they deal with increased regulation. They found that businesses employing a total of 83 million people would have to stop offering their plans – pushing those people onto the government plan. This is just fine for the Dem leadership in Congress – if they control your health care, then they can take…

Pingback| 7.24.09 @ 12:39PM

Boortz Health Care Cheat Sheet « Watchdogonwallstreet’s Weblog links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…health care coverage to the government plan. To put that in perspective, that would mean that nearly half (48.4 percent) would lose their private health coverage.” Don’t believe me? Here’s the link. -”Currently, the top rate is 35 percent. But in his budget President Obama proposed raising the top two income tax rates from 33 and 35 percent to 36 and 39.6 percent. Families in the top…

Pingback| 8.3.09 @ 12:22PM

Socialized Medicine Making People Sick | Conservative.FM links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…have private individual coverage won’t be able to change it. Nor will those who leave a company to work for themselves be free to buy individual plans from private carriers. And this from the American Spectator: Democrats and President Obama have denied that the creation of a new government-run health care plan would be a Trojan Horse for single-payer health care, but a new  report by the Lewin Group…

Pingback| 8.4.09 @ 2:18PM

Why Does the White House Produce Propaganda, When the AP Does It For Free? | America links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…people “might” lose their coverage, but might it not be helpful to cite some facts and studies that show how many people will lose their coverage? One study estimates that 83 million people will lose their current plans. Fourth, the AP writes: “the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office said the House bill lacks mechanisms to bring health care costs under control. In response, the White House…

Independant | 9.16.09 @ 6:54PM

This is a crock of shit.

"would shift more 83.4 million American.."

Shift? You mean 'review their options'?

If their coverage now sucks, or they feel that their in constant threat of being dropped from pre-existing conditions ranging from acne to gallstones, then they'll choose the Government plan. If they have fantastic coverage now; they stay. This 'shift' is called 'New choice'.

"Congressional Budget Office estimates providers will lose $361.9 billion in revenue over the next decade"

Perhaps 'private/personal' revenue which is being used right now to kill real health reform by paying off Lobbyists and Legislators instead of the 'high quality care' we're all so eager to employ. If they don't want to loose customers they'll lower premiums and change policy; that's true competition to better for the people. How is that a loss for America as a hole; Because the wealthy can't be as wealthy (at the cost of 22,000 uninsured deaths a year)?

Pingback| 11.8.09 @ 7:29AM

Pelosi Passes Government Take-Over of Health Care : Washington Memo links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…having read it. The bill includes a so-called “public option”, which independent studies have confirmed will cost trillions of dollars and shove tens of millions of Americans off their private insurance plans. Which is just fine for Nancy Pelosi and Barney Frank, who have admitted on video that their ultimate goal is a single-payer system where there would be no private sector for health care.…

Pat Deaper | 7.31.10 @ 10:45AM

When ever we start something new there will be people on both sides of the fence with their own facts to back up their point of view. The thing that scares me is the fact that we are starting so big. If we are wrong even by a small amount the cost is going to be huge. Could we not just start a little bit smaller and test this out? Maybe state bye state? Or maybe by age? Why does it have to be all or nothing...

Richard | 8.28.10 @ 4:55AM

It is terrible that there is a price put on peoples life and health.

Brent S | 9.1.10 @ 12:37PM

Just wait.....now that this monstrosity has passed we will start to see the effects. Expect your premiums to dramatically increase in 2011. As a result, people will have no where to go but to the government option. I hope the repubs will retake Congress in November to get rid of this awful bill.

James Morgan - Puritan Financi | 9.13.10 @ 8:46PM

In all, the government plan would have 103.4 million members once implemented, according to the Lewin analysis. President Obama has repeated the mantra that anybody who likes their health insurance plan can keep it, but in reality about 63 percent of covered Americans get their health care through their employers, and if employers decide to drop their current health plans in favor of the government plan, workers won't have any choice but to sign up.

good health products | 11.8.10 @ 5:13AM

I agree with Lewin Group, that the offer of lower premiums than private plans are the reason of shifting.

Acne Treatment health care pro | 11.9.10 @ 11:36PM

@ Pat Deaper that is the only solution. State by State...or even town by town

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