By Daniel Mandel on 10.19.09 @ 6:07AM
The Obamaistas continue to insist on an Ortega-Chavez-Morales
ending to the Honduran crisis.
It is extraordinary to see the Obama Administration -- backed by
establishment liberal papers like the
Washington Post and New
York Times -- urging democratic Honduras to accept
at least the temporary reinstatement of ousted president Manuel
Zelaya.
Hondurans should ignore this advice.
Zelaya was ousted because he sought to alter the Honduran
Constitution in order to enable him to run for a further term as
president. This was illegal, because Article 4 of the
Constitution limits the president to one four-year term. Article
4 in turn is subject to a constitutional prohibition on its
alteration contained in Article 239, which states that "whoever
changes or attempts to change" it "will be immediately removed
from public office."
It was precisely this constitutional prohibition that Zelaya
violated last May when he tried to initiate a referendum to
change Article 4. Article 42, Section 5 says that anyone who is
found to "incite, promote, or aid in the continuation or
re-election of the President" faces loss of citizenship. Under
the Constitution, therefore, Zelaya appears entitled to neither
the presidency nor even Honduran citizenship.
Zelaya's illegal attempt to stay in power defied not only the
Constitution but also the Honduran Congress, his own ruling
Liberal Party, the country's Supreme Electoral Tribunal and the
unanimous opinion of the country's 15-member Supreme Court (eight
of whose members are Liberal Party appointees). The military had
no role in his ouster beyond carrying out the instructions of the
civilian authorities to arrest and deport him.
Thus, only when Zelaya had illegally distributed ballots
illicitly imported from Hugo Chavez's Venezuela for holding his
prohibited referendum, did the Supreme Court duly authorize his
removal from office for contravening Article 239 and his own
attorney-general call for his arrest.
As prescribed in the Constitution, his place was taken by the
president of Congress, Roberto Micheletti. Micheletti -- maligned
as a "coup
leader" by Zelaya apologists -- has confirmed
that the elections due in November will be held.
Yet the Obama Administration still regards Zelaya as president,
and
stigmatizes his removal from office as a
"military coup" and "illegal" when it was neither.
So upon what grounds can the Obama Administration urge even the
temporary return of Zelaya to office? We don't know -- the legal
opinion on Zelaya's ouster prepared by the top State Department
lawyer, Harold Koh, has not been released,
according to Republican senator Jim
DeMint, who fruitlessly requested to peruse it already prior to
visiting Honduras earlier this month. But we do know that the
legal
opinion prepared by the Directorate for Legal Research
at the Law Library of Congress fully supports the legality and
constitutionality of Zelaya's removal from office.
Accordingly, how would violation of Article 239, as effectively
demanded by the Obama Administration, help, in Obama's words, to
"support democratic traditions"?
Admittedly, Zelaya's deportation (as distinct from his
deposition) was legally controversial if not illegal. Yet, by
itself, that fact provides no legal or moral foundation for his
reinstatement as president. The most that can be reasonably
argued is that he should be allowed to return to the country,
which Zelaya in any case did by stealth last month. (He is
currently in the Honduran capital, Tegucigalpa, holed up in the
Brazilian embassy). Moreover, his deportation could perhaps be
justified by a paramount concern to preserve the country from
constitutional dismemberment coupled with Chavez-style
orchestrated unrest.
Fears of such unrest are not groundless. In 2003, orchestrated
unrest in Bolivia by Chavez allies like Evo Morales succeeded in
tipping out a lawful (and law-abiding) president, Gonzalo Sanchez
de Lozada. Today, Morales sits in his place. Chavez himself was
clever enough to consolidate political forces in the Venezuelan
Congress before seeking (and receiving) enhanced and extended
power. He also prudently stacked the courts and purged the
military before making his move. Zelaya did not -- but the
Chavistas and the Obama Administration are doing their best to
make up for his carelessness.
Meanwhile, Zelaya surrogates are negotiating with Honduran
presidential aspirants (of whom Micheletti is not one) on ending
the crisis. This "Guaymuras Dialogue," as it has been termed,
involves proposed constitutional and economic concessions to
Zelaya in return for his "renunciation" of the presidency. But
"renunciation" concedes an entitlement on Zelaya's part to an
office from which he is now legally debarred and whose powers he
no longer exercises.
To make such concessions to Zelaya in return for his renouncing
his former office smacks of the Nicaraguan piñata,
whereby Daniel Ortega and the Sandinistas plundered literally
billions of dollars worth of private property and state assets
before relinquishing power after electoral defeat in 1990. As
Ortega himself said,
it permitted him to continue "ruling from below."
Nicaragua allowed that and Ortega is now back in office. Honduras
should avoid a similar experience. Who knows what legal and other
devices would be put in place by Zelaya if he were reinstated to
serve out the remainder of his presidential term in January?
The Honduran Constitution, being a democratic one, does not
derive its legitimacy from that fickle commodity known as
"international opinion." It is not for even democratic
governments to second-guess the constitutional arrangements of a
fellow democracy, though Honduras is entitled to their support,
which it has thus far been shamefully denied. Yet the question
remains whether Honduras, buffeted by international, including
American, sanctions, can withstand the pressure which is
affecting
its fragile economy.
At present, the parties to the Guaymuras Dialogue report
progress, but no movement on the key, constitution-junking Zelaya
demand -- his reinstatement until January. Whether the U.S.
sticks with its standing threat of not recognizing Honduran
elections in the absence of an agreement remains to be seen. If
the U.S. does, it will have parted company from a long-standing
policy of supporting free and fair elections in the region.
Calling for Zelaya's reinstatement does not promote democracy or
order, but their subversion. In the name of the principles the
Obama Administration claims to hold dear, it should rescind its
call for Zelaya's reinstatement.
topics:
Honduras, Manuel Zelaya