In 2005, Sir John Templeton, who died last year at 95, foresaw the economic and financial disaster we are now living through.
As “annus horribilis” 2008 recedes into the background it might be timely to look back a few years and ask: Who really saw all of this coming? Was such an economic and financial disaster foreseeable? What kind of financial sage would have predicted it three or four years ago, in the middle of the “go-go” years? Well, it turns out there was such a prescient, counterintuitive person, keen of mind and generous of soul. That person himself passed away at age 95 in mid-2008. He was, Sir John Templeton, stock picker of the century, innovator, renowned philanthropist, and always a step or more ahead of the pack…far ahead.
I had the benefit of knowing Sir John and visiting him often where he lived, at Lyford Cay, the Bahamas. I also served on his board of advisors of the John Templeton Foundation. So more recently, in the throes of deepening recession, massive foreclosures, government bailouts, a global stock sell-off, indeed, near financial collapse and all around general — doom and gloom, I found myself repeatedly wondering out loud the same question: “What Would Sir John Say?” Then I remembered. I happened upon this urgent and wise “Memo” from him, written in June 2005. If only we had all taken it to heart and acted upon it then, how much better off we would be now. Read on:
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H/T to National Review Online
Drudge Ette Obama| 1.8.09 @ 6:59AM
Someone get to Obama, if he is back from vacation yet, and educate the fool. He has a once in a century opportunity to reverse a dire course we are on. Why does he keep moving to the dark edge? Why does he want to spend another trillion on idiotic projects? What compels these people? Meglomania? How can we save ourselves?
Luonne Dumak| 1.8.09 @ 7:44AM
Educate Mr .B.O.? He is already educated, in the ways of Karl Marx.
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Alice Moore| 1.8.09 @ 8:42AM
Re: educating Obama. Obama, like many Liberals, have secular BELIEFS; not opinions. I think he shares Rev. Jeremiah Wright's worldview as well. Obama and his wife might like seeing white America lose their shirts.
A Sir John demonstrating logical cause and effect, let alone quantifiable facts,would be a waste of time.
Lauren Templeton | 1.8.09 @ 3:19PM
I received the same memo. Impressive thoughts!
We recently created a quarterly newsletter: The Maximum Pessimism Report. The Maximum Pessimism Report profiles value investing ideas from a contrarian’s point of view. If you would like to receive the Maximum Pessimism Report on a quarterly basis please visit our website: www.MaximumPessimism.com . Click on the newsletter tab to register for your free subscription.
“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism and die on euphoria. The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell.” ~Sir John Templeton
Happy Bargain Hunting!
Scott CrossSr| 1.8.09 @ 4:02PM
WOW! Astute, cogent, pithy: a stunning assembly of a few ideas in just a few paragraphs that simply ring TRUTH. I'm obviously stunned. Only Norman Poderetz in the world of civilization and ethics comes to mind. Wish I had met Sir John, just once.
frankg| 1.8.09 @ 5:06PM
Yeah, obama and the libs appear certain that this is the way to go, socialist creative destruction. Massive national debt will likely be a means to an end. Remake the world in their image. And build a second tower of bable. It'll all be a failure, of course, but as they experiment on us, they'll be sure they can get it right, eventually.
Michele San Pietro| 1.8.09 @ 6:01PM
I don't see any economic or financial disaster. Is this The American Spectator or The Communist Spectator?
Sandy| 5.17.10 @ 5:05AM
Is this The American Spectator or The Communist Spectator?
Alan Brooks| 1.8.09 @ 7:40PM
Templeton said it all. what can be added?
we should have known; 1991, recession; 1996, pulling up (the best time); 1998, optimism ("overheating" economy); 1999, millennial euphoria-- not even Y2K could dampen it.
Then the dotcom downturn in 2000-- since then it's been a hell of a ride. it was all there in the '90s for us to see but we were blinded by the light.
Joseph Smith| 1.8.09 @ 9:23PM
Thank you for sharing that amazing memo from an amazing man.
Alan Brooks| 1.8.09 @ 10:06PM
when the Old School dies off we may lose a great deal more than we might think we do.
Heimo Mauser| 1.10.09 @ 4:09PM
Great old man. But there are still left some others like Warren Buffett, Marc Faber and all the Graham&Dodd;-people who really understand the economy. If we really want to know - we could ask them for advice.
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