The case for suspending mark-to-market accounting. Part one in “Providing Relief from the Crisis,” a seven-part series on our economic emergency.
Herewith the first installment of an economic symposium that Brian S. Wesbury, our economics editor, has put together in the hope that the present financial crisis can be relieved without much more pain for the taxpayer. We believe that a major cause of the ongoing credit freeze is mark-to-market accounting rules that the Securities and Exchange Commission could simply suspend. Over the next three days we shall publish seven pieces — two a day — in this symposium titled “Providing Relief from the Crisis” wherein some of the country’s top economic thinkers argue that the government especially through its enforcement of mark-to-market accounting rules, has deepened and broadened the crisis. In fact we believe that the current crisis has burned out of control because of the government’s obduracy in refusing to admit that its polices have made things worse.
In their seminal work, A Monetary History of the United States, Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz reported that mark-to-market accounting rules caused banks to fail in the Great Depression, not from bad loans, but from writing down bond values at the behest of regulators. And as William Isaac, former head of the FDIC, tells us in his submission, FDR eventually called together a panel in 1938 that suspended those rules. By then the Depression had lasted eight years. We hope our current government leadership understands this history. — R. Emmett Tyrrell, Jr.
THE PRESIDENT-ELECT should immediately call upon the Securities and Exchange Commission to suspend mark-to-market accounting (specifically SFAS 157, adopted in 2006). It’s indisputable that this accounting rule has senselessly destroyed hundreds of billions of dollars of bank capital, is a major cause of the world-wide financial crisis, and is crippling the economy.
The SEC began pushing for market value accounting in the early 1990s. The move was opposed strongly by Treasury Secretary Nicholas Brady, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Chairman William Taylor.
Greenspan and Taylor pointed out that market value accounting on bank investment portfolios had been required by regulators until 1938. That year President Roosevelt asked the Secretary of the Treasury to convene the bank regulators to discuss how to get banks lending again to help the nation recover from the Great Depression. They concluded that market value accounting was impeding bank lending and abolished it in favor of historical-cost accounting.
Brady was prescient in his 1992 letter opposing market value accounting. He noted that market value accounting would introduce a great deal of volatility in bank earnings and make their financial statements more difficult to understand. Most importantly, he cautioned that temporary changes in market pricing could cause large hits to bank earnings and capital, which would diminish bank lending capacity and create severe credit crunches.
I considered market value accounting when I was Chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation during the banking crisis of the 1980s. I thought it might force banks to keep the maturities of their assets and liabilities in better balance. The FDIC ultimately rejected the notion for three principal reasons.
First, market value accounting could be implemented on only a portion of the asset side of bank balance sheets (i.e., marketable securities) — it was daunting to even contemplate the liability side. A system that captures one change in value without picking up other changes can be very misleading. For example, an increase in interest rates would drive down the value of fixed-rate mortgages and bonds held by banks but might well increase the value of their floating rate loans. That same increase in rates would make most deposit accounts more profitable. The net affect on a bank’s business could be positive; yet, marking the government mortgages and bonds to market would destroy earnings and capital.
Second, we believed that market value accounting would impede banks in performing their fundamental function — taking short-term money from depositors and converting it into longer terms loans for businesses and consumers.
Third, we felt that market value accounting would be pro-cyclical and would make it very difficult for regulators to manage future banking crises. If we had followed market value accounting during the 1980s, we would have forced the nationalization of our largest banks, which were loaded up with third world debt for which the markets were not functioning. I believe the country would have gone from a serious recession into a depression.
Devotees of market value accounting cringe at the thought of suspending the rules. They argue it would result in a loss of transparency and an overstatement of values. To the contrary, market value accounting has produced terribly misleading disclosures by valuing specific assets well below their true economic value without considering offsetting changes in value of other assets and liabilities. It is transparently bad accounting.
Historical-cost accounting — the cornerstone of Generally Accepted Accounting Principles — is vastly superior. Under historical-cost accounting, marketable assets are carried on the books at their amortized cost, and the balance sheet contains footnoted tables showing the current market value of those portfolios. This gives investors all of the information they need to evaluate the adequacy of a bank’s capital and its earnings power.
Historical-cost accounting does not run market depreciation through the income statement and does not deplete bank capital (unless the decline in value is considered permanent). This system provides a more accurate financial picture of a bank and does not destroy bank lending capacity.
The crisis in the financial system demonstrates that major principles of accounting are much too important to be left solely to accountants — or, worse yet, to an international board of accountants, as the SEC is currently considering. We urgently need to change our system of setting accounting standards to make it more accountable. Accounting principles affecting our financial system should require approval from both the Federal Reserve and the FDIC — the two agencies charged with maintaining stability and picking up the pieces when a crisis hits.
It makes no sense to allow the SEC and the Financial Accounting Standards Board to continue destroying capital in our banks at the same time Treasury is using taxpayer money to recapitalize the banks. Our new president should call upon the SEC to get on the same page as the rest of the government and end the destruction of bank capital under SFAS 157.
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Bob| 12.11.08 @ 7:01AM
There are two sides to this argument. The other side is that mark to market forces banks/investment houses to cover their losses in real value. The difference between now and the past is that because of retirement plans, the number of people participating in the market is significantly higher than in the past. Relatively few of those people will read the notes to financial reports. Therefore, you lose transparency when the average investor looks at the quarterly financial results. That's why the change was made. Because of the nature of funds, there are far too many securities in most portfolios for people to understand what's happening to them. In addition, relatively few people are trained in reading financial reports.
This is not really a problem unless there is a large and quick drop in asset value of the underlying securities. That said, Isaac is obviously right that it makes financial institutions illiquid quickly because of their leverage. By the way, there is more leverage today than ever before, and that is part of the problem as well as our ability to properly value complex derivatives.
That said, if we do move back to historical cost accounting as this author states, it needs to be accompanied by regulation that addresses what needs to be done to maintain capital requirements and increase transparency so average investors who own 401(k)'s with mutual funds know the potential risk to their portfolios without having to read the footnotes of a large number of securities.
If these regulatory changes are made, it does make sense to move away from mark to market accounting. However, we should understand both sides of the argument and try to improve the system in the future -- not just change it back in a reactionary manner.
James Mulcahy| 12.11.08 @ 7:52AM
As I said in a letter to the editor in Tuesday's edition:
"FASB and the SEC have dug their heels in to maintain MtM rules in the face of the severe damage they are doing. They justify this position by saying that it allows the market to know the "true" value of the assets held. If that is the reason for doing so, then compel institutions to put in the footnotes to their financial statements the MtM valuations and explain why they differ, if they do, from the values on the balance sheet. Investors will have as much information but the credit and capital markets won't be held hostage. "
MtM accounting does provide investors with information. 9The S&L;debacle actually started in the late 1970s with the Carter era inflation. If the S&Ls;had been required to show a market valuation of their assets at that time, public policies would (should?) have been different. ) However, it shouldn't be allowed to trump everything. MtM is useful for identifying a lone culprit in mismanagement. It exacerbates minor problems when it becomes industry-wide.
For the life of me, I can't understand the reluctance of the SEC & FASB to make the change I propose above. It would do more, and do it much quicker, to get credit flowing than all of the bailouts the pols can gin up.
rdjhoya| 12.11.08 @ 7:58AM
If it takes 90 days to release financial statements, hasn't the market value already become a new historical cost? Why shouldn't financials be updated 24/7 for all changes in market value? Why aren't government financials subject to MtM? Am I the only CPA to think this is all a bunch of crap form ivory tower morons who never ran a business or bought a security?
Bob| 12.11.08 @ 8:07AM
rdjhoya -- To answer your first question, the market value has NOT become a new historical cost even after 90 days. It's just like carrying inventory at cost rather than current value. The problem with MtM is that it adds significant complexity to calculations and processes. If you want to make the government bigger, then they can be subject to MtM. However, the real reason government financials are not included is that they don't vary much in value and therefore there is not a big difference in either value. The problem is that given the leverage of financial institutions and the volatility and complexity of underlying securities, it is nothing like running the vast majority of businesses. If it were, it wouldn't be an issue.
Chris| 12.12.08 @ 12:59PM
About the Feds books being on MTM,
I was thinking l more about all the liquidity that has been injected on who knows what collateral?
TARP money or collateral assets aren't disclosed either.
I have mixed feeling about the request, what if AIG had had even more rules to play with? Terrible as the results may be would keeping the card stackers going lead to a better result longer term??
Cox seems committed to MTM with some nuances, that's reality. I understand the anti-MTM group as well.
The elephant in the room is fiat money that made all of this possible. If I don't trust the Fed with money creation then why would I trust accountants pricing assets in bank books??
JAZ| 12.15.08 @ 7:25PM
Quote: Winston Churchill.
What do we do? sometimes we have to do what is required. Population growth is the biggest threat to the world resources, and cannot be sustained.
The biggest consumers has to be reduced, oil electricity pollution, global warming. Americans are the biggest threat to the civilised world. WARS theft corruption, using up the globe's resources, the government will be introducing martial law, to cull the population.
FEMA concentration camps have been set up all across the country look it up on the youtube sites.
David| 2.4.09 @ 3:37PM
My biggest problem with this issue is where was this attitude when CEO's, insurance underwriters and investment bankers were collecting record bonuses based solely on PHANTOM INCOME. When things were going great the Banking and Insurance industries pushed for more Mark-to-Market legislation - (SEE: Cash Flow Hedge Accounting). I feel the issuance of a reported that depicts Phantom Income is far more harmfull to the end-user than a report that presents worst case scenario. Perhaps financial statements should be presented in comparative formats - one column Historical Cost, one column Mark Value (wiht noted caveats) and a third column - a hybrid that is more clearly indicative of a liquidation value - chosen by regulators.
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