IN THE WANING DAYS of the Republican congressional majority,
there were countless signs that it wasn’t 1994 anymore. Of course,
in retrospect, that had been evident for some time. There was the
budget agreement of 1998, when the Republican Congress first tried
to outspend Bill Clinton. And the GOP had caved during the budget
stalemate with Clinton all the way back in 1996. Within a decade,
talking about a revolution really did sound like a whisper.
Yet it was those keepers of the ’94 flame in the Republican
Study Committee who helped their colleagues most depressingly
illustrate the GOP’s decline. The determined conservative caucus
offered annual spending blueprints based on the budget that
actually passed the full House in 1995. By 2006, these budget
proposals couldn’t even muster a majority among members of the
Republican Study Committee. Not for nothing did Eric Pfeiffer,
writing in Reason magazine, call the less tightfisted members of
the RSC “the budget-cutters who couldn’t stop spending.”
So when the Republican majority finally slipped away, principled
conservatives were among the least surprised. “We lost our way,”
Congressman Mike Pence of Indiana, a former chairman of the RSC,
frequently lamented. Conservatives complained that the GOP
frittered away its majority by growing government, engaging in
wasteful spending, tolerating ethical lapses, and otherwise
compromising the party’s image for fiscal rectitude and basic
competence. Part of the problem was President Bush, whose agenda
included the Medicare prescription drug benefit, No Child Left
Behind, and amnesty for illegal immigrants. But any honest
assessment would have to conclude that the troubles began long
before Bush came to town.
Conservatives didn’t lose the 2006 elections, the argument went.
Republicans did. This point of view was not without critics. George
Packer contended in the New Yorker that it “had the appeal of
asking relatively little of conservatives.” Liberals, inexplicably
to most conservatives, saw the Republican losses as evidence that
anti-government ideology had failed. Some conservatives worried
that the right was still singing from the same song sheet as when
Ronald Reagan was elected nearly three decades ago. Analysts of all
stripes protested that it conveniently ignored Iraq’s role in the
Republican “thumping.” And some Republicans continued to believe
that pork and incumbency was the path to power.
But two years later, the “lost our way” narrative is close to
being the consensus view among Republicans as to why the Democrats
retook Congress. It is certainly the explanation embraced by the
GOP presidential nominee, who for the better part of the last
decade hasn’t exactly been a conservative ideologue. “We went to
Washington to change government,” John McCain likes to say on the
stump, “but instead government changed us.” Campaigning on the deck
of the USS Yorktown before the South Carolina primary, McCain kept
exclaiming, “Spending! It’s the spending!”
McCain has even gone a step further than most of his
congressional colleagues, embracing earmark reform as one of his
few domestic-policy crusades during the presidential campaign. “I
have fought the big spenders in both parties who waste your money
on things you may not need or want,” the Arizona senator said
during his acceptance speech at the GOP convention, among many
other places. “And the first big spending, pork barrel earmarked
bill that comes across my desk, I will veto it. I will make them
famous and you will know their names!” His best—indeed, only
memorable—debate line in the primaries contrasted his POW status in
Vietnam with Hillary Clinton’s support for a Woodstock-related
earmark.
When it came time to pick a running mate, McCain was reportedly
tempted to emphasize his hawkishness by choosing pro-war Democrat
Joe Lieberman or his appeal to swing voters by tapping by
pro-choice Republican Tom Ridge. But instead he doubled down on the
anti-pork, anti-Republican establishment message by opting for
Sarah Palin, the governor of Alaska and emerging conservative rock
star. Palin climbed the ladder by standing up to her own party’s
corrupt, big-spending old-boy network. Whatever her initial
inclinations, she eventually broke with her state’s mostly
geriatric GOP congressional delegation on the Bridge to Nowhere. In
her speech at the Republican convention, the hockey mom implied
that she would remove her lipstick and become a pit bull at the
sight of an earmark.
Congressional Republicans have been slower to get on the
anti-earmarks bandwagon, because many of them are pork-beggers
rather than pork-busters. When Mike Pence and Congressman John
Shadegg of Arizona, both fiscally conservative reformers, sought
leadership positions after the 2006 elections, they were shellacked
by the John Boehner/Roy Blunt team that was already in place. “They
just lost, what, 30 seats?” an exasperated conservative activist
fumed at the time. “I don’t know what it will take for them to get
it.”
While House Minority Leader Boehner made some gestures toward
members frustrated with earmarks, his caucus remains too divided
over the issue to deliver the same unambiguous message as McCain.
Many House Republicans spoke out against the unrelated domestic
spending Democrats inserted in supplementals intended to fund the
wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, but half of them also voted for the
$300 billion farm bill that was as loaded with earmarks as the
infamous 2005 highway bill.
WHERE “PORK VERSUS PRINCIPLE” emerged as a major theme in
intraparty contests this year, the results were mixed. In
California’s Fourth Congressional District, state Senator Tom
McClintock vied with former Congressman Doug Ose to succeed
retiring Congressman John Doolittle. Doolittle was a poster child
for the GOP’s 2006 image problems. His home was raided by the FBI
as part of an investigation into whether his wife accepted money
from Jack Abramoff in exchange for favors for the convicted felon’s
clients. Doolittle maintains that he and his wife are innocent, but
he has never denied seeking earmarks to do favors for his
constituents.
McClintock is a conservative well known for his service in the
legislature, several painfully close statewide races, and his
third-place finish in the 2003 recall election for governor. Ose is
a moderate who pledged to continue Doolittle’s earmarking ways and
spent $3 million of his own money attacking McClintock for, among
other things, his anti-pork stand. McClintock countered that he
wouldn’t “fight for scraps” from Washington’s table.
In the end, the June primary wasn’t even close. McClintock beat
Ose by 54 percent to 39 percent, carrying all nine of the
district’s counties even though he currently represents a state
senate district that is some 400 miles away. McClintock’s
conservatism—earmarks are the least of the spending he would
cut—trumped charges that he was a carpetbagger. He is now trying to
pull the football away from Democratic opponent Charlie Brown, who
came within three points of Doolittle in 2006.
Things did not work nearly as well for anti-pork Republicans in
Sarah Palin’s home state of Alaska, where GOP Sen. Ted Stevens and
Rep. Don Young can compete with West Virginia Senator Robert Byrd
in bringing home the bacon. Young is under federal investigation;
Stevens has been indicted and is currently on trial. Neither is
favored to win reelection, yet in August they both dispatched
conservative primary challengers.
Stevens’s main challenger, businessman and former state
legislator Dave Cuddy, didn’t start campaigning in earnest until
the indictments against the incumbent were handed down. Even then,
he faced an uphill battle against the longest-serving Republican
senator. “I’m hearing people say they will vote for [Stevens] even
if he is in jail,” Cuddy told TAS at the time. And so they might
have: Stevens won his primary with 63 percent of the vote.
Alaska’s other prince of pork, Don “Kiss My Ear” Young, faced a
tougher challenge. Lt. Gov. Sean Parnell was backed by Palin and
the Club for Growth. Young received an improbable last-minute
endorsement from Ron Paul, who finished ahead of McCain in the
Frontier State’s caucuses. “I believe we have a good shot,” Parnell
told TAS in June. But Young squeaked through by just 304 votes.
This small snapshot reveals the divide among congressional
Republicans. Many, if not most, of them claim to believe that
overspending contributed to their 2006 losses or at least helped
the GOP’s brand of dog food expire on the shelves. But two years
later, they still rush to vote for big-spending bills, sensing that
the electorate—even in the Republican primary—is unlikely to punish
them. It will take at least another two years to know if they are
right—and if the Grand Old Spending Party is truly over.
W. James Antle III is associate editor of The American
Spectator.