Maybe the Republicans won’t end up nominating either Mike Huckabee or Mitt Romney. But how likely is the GOP to nominate someone polling in the low single digits even this far out? The media takes Tim Pawlenty, Mitch Daniels, and Haley Barbour more seriously than Huckabee or Sarah Palin. Now, I happen to like those three guys. But Barbour is polling as well as Alan Keyes was in 1995. It’s early, the race is wide open, and there is plenty of time for trailing candidates to boost their name ID. If Huckabee and/or Palin don’t run, the dynamic changes. Even with all those caveats, however, an unprecedented boom in support is what these gentlemen would need to be nominated.
