A year from today there will be an inauguration in Washington, D.C.
Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts will be asking someone to repeat after him the words written in Article II, Section 1, Clause 8 of the U.S. Constitution.
The question, of course, is to whom Justice Roberts will administer the oath of office.
Despite the often heated words that have exchanged amongst the Republican candidates over the past several months, there is general agreement amongst them and conservatives at large that this country would be ill-served by another four years with Barack Obama as President of the United States.
Yet what remains to be seen is who the Republicans shall nominate. While conservatives may be united in our opposition to President Obama the question remains if will we be united around the man who is chosen to oppose him. What also remains to be seen is if any third party candidates will jump into the fray. But let’s suppose that does not come to pass. Even if conservatives should unite around the Republican nominee, there is still the question of convincing that large portion of the electorate which is neither conservative nor liberal to take a chance on a new President. The Republican candidate must be able to preach beyond the choir.
Even in these tough economic times this will not be an easy task. President Obama has money, organization and a sympathetic media on his side. He also has history on his side. The last time a sitting President was defeated without a primary challenger was when Herbert Hoover was defeated by Franklin Delano Roosevelt in 1932. FDR presided over economic times tougher than we face today and yet was thrice re-elected by decisive margins.
Of course, we live in a far different country today than when FDR lived at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue. In those days, it was possible to keep his polio a state secret. But in today’s world of social media, that secret would last all of five seconds, if that. It has long been said that a week in politics is a lifetime. Well, it could also be said that a minute in politics is a month.
For the moment, with Republicans still duking it out, President Obama’s standing in the polls is improving. However, in six months time, those squabbles will be all but forgotten. Over the course of this year there could be a further economic decline, rising gas prices or some other domestic or international crisis which President Obama might not be able to handle which would give his GOP opponent an opportunity to put his best foot forward.
Let us also not forget that Obamacare will be argued before the Supreme Court in the spring, a decision will be rendered in the summer and that decision could lead to the fall of President Obama and the inauguration of the 45th President of the United States a year from today.
Only time will tell.
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