The respected Franklin and Marshall College Poll has today released its latest results in Pennsylvania’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary race — and things aren’t looking good for Arlen Specter.
Specter trails Congressman Joe Sestak 38%-29% among all registered Democrats, with 31% undecided. Among likely voters, Specter trails %38-36% with 25% saying they “don’t know.”
The poll also matches Republican Pat Toomey against both men, with Toomey beating both: Toomey wins over Specter 35%-33%, while beating Sestak 29%-28%.
The problem for both Specter or Sestak in the Toomey match-up is that the trend nationwide this year is for Republicans — and in that kind of setting Republicans historically have carried the day. In 1994, both Republicans Rick Santorum and Tom Ridge bested Democrats in close races for the Senate and governorship precisely because of this trend.