In National Journal Charlie Cook warns the Democrats to prepare to run for reelection in the midst of high unemployment. That might make it tough to convince voters that even more big spending programs are the answer to our problems. Writes Cook:
Obviously, there are many variables that can drive a political party’s fortune in next November’s elections, but the economy and jobs dwarf all others. Polls may show a majority of Americans understand that this recession started under President George W. Bush, but every day, President Obama, and inferentially his party, take on a bit more ownership. By the 2010 midterm elections, the economy will completely belong to Obama and Democrats.
What should concern Democrats is that while there is a diversity of views about just how much the economy will grow next year, the views of both optimists and pessimists converge on the politically important question of unemployment: The consensus is there will be very, very little job growth next year.
Ten percent unemployment wouldn’t be good at any time for the incumbent ruling Democrats. This possibility is an especially good reason for the Blue Dogs to consider carefully before voting to nationalize the American medical system!