Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.) told MSNBC that he is “convinced” the Senate cap-and-trade bill he introduced with Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.) yesterday has a chance to pass. According to the Hill, Kerry said, “”I’m convinced it has a shot.” Kerry-Boxer is even more stringent in some respects than Waxman-Markey, calling for a 20 percent reduction in carbon emissions compared to the 17 percent required by the bill that narrowly passed the House.
Well, if there is a “shot,” someone forgot to tell key moderate Democrats. Roll Call reported that Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) said, “I am not committed to [carbon] cap-and-trade under any circumstance.” Ditto Sen. Evan Bayh (D-Ind.), who just said, “It’s a difficult issue.” Someone also forgot to ask Sen. John McCain, a Republican supporter of cap-and-trade, if he’d back the bill. Fortunately, Reuters didn’t: “Of course not. Never, never, never.” McCain is steamed about the “lip service” paid to nuclear energy in the Democratic bill.
If moderate Democrats, Rust Belt Democrats, and moderate Republicans aren’t on board, cap-and-trade will be harder to pass than health care. Some shot.
UPDATE: Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D-W. Va.), protecting the interests of his state’s coal industry, has also come out against the Kerry-Boxer bill: “The climate legislation proposed today by Senators Boxer and Kerry is a disappointing step in the wrong direction and I am against it.”