The latest round of Senate polls don’t look too good for Republicans. Virginia, Colorado, New Hampshire, and New Mexico look likely to flip (this doesn’t include any data for Alaska). There’s a split decision in Minnesota, with one poll showing Al Franken up 9, another showing Norm Coleman up 10. Oregon is now in danger, with Gordon Smith trailing for the first time. Republican incumbents don’t seem to have consistently closed the sale in North Carolina, Kentucky, Mississippi, or even Georgia. That Saxby Chambliss seat wasn’t on anyone’s radar just a few months ago. Frank Lautenberg is starting to pull ahead of Dick Zimmer in New Jersey, Mary Landrieu is up 13 in Louisiana. (Louisiana is supposed to be the GOP’s pickup opportunity this year.)
The only good news for the GOP is that some polls still show Mitch McConnell ahead, Coleman’s seat at the very least looks salvagable, Susan Collins is still safe in Maine, and New Hampshire has tightened. The Colorado race is also competitive. But a Democratic pickup of five to eight Senate seats really isn’t out of the question.