Rudy Giuliani was always relying on a Florida plus Feb. 5th boost to win the nomination, but what forced him to adopt a more extreme version of that strategy? Initially, Giuliani wasn’t going to completely write off New Hampshire or South Carolina. He even hemmed and hawed a bit about Iowa. He spent time and money in all of those states.
Until the news broke that some Giuliani staffers were forgoing paychecks, we didn’t tend to think of that campaign as having problems. Giuliani has raised a good bit of money relative to the other Republican presidential candidates. But Republican presidential fundraising hasn’t been all that good. Did the Giuliani people ultimately decide to use the money that they had in places like Florida rather than the early states, especially after the New Hampshire ads didn’t produce any tangible gains?
This isn’t any informed speculation on my part, and I haven’t crunched the numbers. I’ve said before that I don’t think Giuliani’s strategy for winning the nomination was wise. But I wonder if they adopted it because they felt they had no choice.