Special Report

Can Trump Work an Economic Miracle?

By 2.26.16

Donald Trump has promised a lot. His critics have, correctly in many instances, pointed out that he has been vague on how he will make America Great Again. But we can take a look at his general economic agenda and make a judgment on whether it can deliver the robust economic growth that he advertises. In particular, Trump maintains that we do not need to reform entitlement programs but that we can grow the economy sufficiently under his plan to pay for the current stream of obligations. Most economists estimate that the U.S. economy would need to grow at approximately 8% per year to meet this goal — something that no American economic expansion has come close to achieving in modern times.

The Trump economic plan essentially has three main components. First, encourage the repatriation of 2 trillion dollars that U.S. corporations have earned overseas but can’t bring back because of tax consequences. Second, reform the tax code. Third, get tough with our trading partners, particularly China, Mexico, and other countries that are “ripping us off.”


The Cruz Plan: Reagan Reenters the Republican Field

By 10.30.15

The Republican Party woke up new and fresh, and ahead of the curve, yesterday morning, leaving the Democrats stale and old back in the 20th century (Keynesian 1930s), if not the 19th (1870s, when Marx was new and cutting edge).

History books will note the turning point of the 2016 election as the evening of October 28, 2015. At the Republican debate that night in Colorado, Texas Senator Ted Cruz . emerged from the Republican Presidential field as the modern 2016 embodiment of Ronald Reagan.

The tax reform plan he unveiled at that debate is as new, exciting, and politically and economically revolutionary as the historic Kemp-Roth tax rate cuts were in 1980. And that was just one plank in an extremely promising economic growth plan that Cruz intimated that night.

John Kasich Wants to Abolish Teachers Lounges Instead of the Dept. of Ed.

By on 8.20.15 | 1:55PM

John Kasich has had a difficult time differentiating himself from the Republican field. Not only are there other, more recognizable moderates, but John Kasich is basically the kind of entity that ghosts in and out of things like debates. He never says anything really right and he never says anything really wrong. In a sense, he's like the state of Ohio: it's there. You'll visit it if you have to drive through it, but you wouldn't go out of your way.

Yesterday, though, at a New Hampshire "Education Summit" for "The 74" education advocacy group, Kasich came up with a novel and unconventional idea to address problems with education in this country. While other candidates like Bush, Jindal, Christie and Fiorina explained their comprehensive plans to address the need for education reform, John Kasich wants to abolish the teachers lounge - because we can't have people fraternizing on work time.

CBO Predicts a Hangover of Economic Proportions

By on 7.16.14 | 4:43PM

According to the CBO, the Clairvoyant Bureaucratic Office, “federal debt will be growing faster than GDP, a path that would be ultimately unsustainable.” Our national debt is already bigger than our economy.

The key source of upward pressure on the federal debt is expanded federal spending in the form of Obamacare, its gluttonous siblings Medicare and Medicaid, and its senile cousin Social Security. Because of government encroachment into the health care industry, health care spending will double over the next twenty-five years to 14 percent of GDP.

In order to stop the Social Security trust fund from defaulting and return to sustainable levels of unfunded liabilities by 2025, future and current Americans will have to incur a 25 percent cut in their benefits.

The CBO hearing had the tone of a doctor’s appointment for a self-destructive addict. The doctor says, “You know you can’t keep overspending like this, America,” and the government nods sheepishly and then scampers off to print more money.

ThinkProgress Tries to Figure Out This Whole Minimum Wage Thing

By on 6.27.14 | 1:35PM

ThinkProgress would like you to know that Ikea will be raising its average minimum wage to $10.76 an hour for its American employees. The company has said it will calculate base pay by considering the cost of living at each of its store locations. In other words, Ikea’s goal is to provide a living wage. ThinkProgress helpfully points out that other companies have also raised their minimum pay recently, and that “these companies usually cite the same reason: they expect it to help them attract and retain better employees, which will help their bottom lines.”

Comcast Isn’t the Free-Market Choice in the Internet Wars

By on 6.25.14 | 10:59AM

Free-market types have been rallying behind Comcast and against Netflix for some time now. For the sake of context, the debate is over whether Comcast should be able to "throttle" access to Netflix across its Internet service. Netflix, hosting streaming video, absorbs an incredible amount of broadband Internet access that can ostensibly stress Comcast’s infrastructure. Those of a more conspiratorial bent cite Comcast’s desire to protect traditional television from the Internet upstart as the reason behind throttling Netflix.

The aforementioned free-marketers have been using some variation of the argument that Comcast can do whatever it wants with its wires. Or interconnected tubes. Or whatever infrastructure provides the Internet. Further, Comcast should be free to price its service in any way it desires assuming the market can bear those prices.

I’m Uber-Angry About Uber

By on 6.7.14 | 2:03PM

Yesterday, the Virginia Department of Motor Vehicles sent cease-and-desist letters to ride-sharing companies Uber and Lyft for not complying with state taxi regulations. Uber and Lyft continued to operate despite warnings in April that their for-hire business models defied state law.  

As a Virginia resident and satisfied Uber customer I would like to thank the Virginia DMV for protecting me from the dangers of affordable and convenient transportation.

No really, thanks.

Since its founding in 2009, Uber has been a success. Investors are so optimistic about Uber that it currently has a $17 billion valuation, a record for a technology startup in a direct investment round.

The Virginia DMV argues that it is only enforcing current taxi law, and they have a point. The real problem here is outdated and protectionist restrictions, not their enforcement.

Student Loans, Student Debt, and Subsidies to Universities Should be Eliminated

By on 5.22.14 | 3:35PM

The Federalist has a thought-provoking piece on student loan debt today. Daniel Oliver believes the issue represents an incredible opportunity for the Republican Party. He argues that Republicans should endorse forgiving all student loan debt while at the same time eliminating all future student loan assistance programs. 

This is a big idea. Before you start shouting about personal responsibility, hear Oliver out:

Student debt is a public-policy issue that will keep on giving—giving problems to the Democrats, who created it, and the opportunity of a lifetime to Republicans, if they have the wit to seize it.

Political Hay

Poor Winners in the GOP Establishment

By 5.13.14

Last week North Carolina House Speaker Thom Tillis escaped a runoff by earning 46 percent of the vote — six points above the threshold — in an eight-way primary race for the right to face down incumbent U.S. Senator Kay Hagan this November.

The post-victory squawking among Washington's smart set was that the GOP establishment has vanquished the Tea Party, that the Karl Rove and Mitt Romney wing of the party is ascendant once more. But this analysis, like most generated inside the Beltway, fundamentally misses the mark. For Republicans, it isn’t just wrong, but counterproductive.