Despite speculation, current political turmoil does not threaten America’s two-party system. America’s peculiar federal electoral dynamic serves to channel a multiplicity of issues into just two major parties. History confirms its resiliency — even when facing far more turbulent times than today’s.
Both parties are experiencing significant populist upheavals in 2016’s primaries. Donald Trump has won 47% of Republicans’ electorally awarded delegates; Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders has won 45% of Democrats’.
With half of each party’s delegates going to an insurgent, no wonder many have begun speculating that one or both parties could split and America soon experience true multi-party contests. Such musings are provocative, and if realized would produce unprecedented twists, but this problem remains: It won’t happen.
An American multi-party system is not emerging and not just due to historical precedent. More important is the electoral dynamic that has created — and will maintain — our two-party system.